184
ACUS03 KWNS 031858
SWODY3
SPC AC 031857

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not forecast on Friday or Friday night.

...FL Panhandle vicinity...
Isolated to scattered elevated convection should be ongoing at 12Z
Friday along the western and central Gulf Coast, within a broad
swath of low-level isentropic ascent atop a slow-moving offshore
surface front. This will spread east during the day across parts of
the Southeast. Some of the non-CAM guidance suggest the front may
penetrate inland in a portion of the FL Panhandle attendant to a
decaying weak surface low. With the synoptic pattern favoring a
broad/low-amplitude trough into the south-central states,
large-scale ascent and mid-level lapse rates should remain weak,
compounding uncertainty in how much surface-based destabilization
can occur with any afternoon convection. The bulk of ML guidance
outside of the SPC-CSU indicates less than 5 percent severe probs as
well. As such, will defer to later outlooks for a potential
mesoscale level 1-MRGL risk.

..Grams.. 12/03/2025

$$