973
ACUS03 KWNS 071911
SWODY3
SPC AC 071910

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0110 PM CST Fri Nov 07 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN
FLORIDA TO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday midday into
early evening along the South Atlantic Coastal Plain from north
Florida to far southeast Virginia.

...Synopsis...
A very strong, amplifying mid-level trough will become a closed low
across the western Great Lakes with a strong mid-level jet extending
from the Plains to the Gulf Coast and into the Northeast. A surface
low will move from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic. A cold front
will tighten as it moves east of the Appalachians and eventually
into the western Atlantic.

...Southeast into the Eastern Carolinas and far southeast
Virginia...
Weak to potentially moderate instability will develop from north
Florida to southeast Virginia in advance of an eastward-moving cold
front. Storms are expected along and ahead of this front as it moves
east. Moderately steep lapse rates and steep low-level lapse rates
may support damaging wind gusts during the afternoon/evening.
Greater instability across southeast Georgia and eastern South
Carolina may support a more concentrated zone of stronger storms. In
addition, moderate shear will support the potential for a few
supercells. While a Slight Risk may be needed across this area,
storm intensity (due to only modest instability) uncertainties
preclude an upgrade at this time.

..Bentley.. 11/07/2025

$$