Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
421
FNUS54 KEPZ 311737
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
There will be no fire weather concerns through the forecast
period. Storm chances will be medium-high today for much of the
area with potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding. A Flood
Watch is in effect for area mountains through the evening.
Moisture levels and storm chances lower on Monday, continuing
through midweek, favoring the higher terrain. Prevailing winds
outside of outflows will be light from the east. Temperatures will
be near or a bit below normal.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-011230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75700 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 79 to 84. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 78 to 83. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-011230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and storms until 1200. Chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116000 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
86 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-011230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93500 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-011230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....52-59.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms until
1200, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....66-74.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-68 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-55 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62600 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....74-82.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....31-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 60. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-011230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and storms until 1200. Chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107800 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-67.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* Min humidity........25-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs near 90.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
near 90. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near
90. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-011230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1137 AM MDT Sun Aug 31 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.LABOR DAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103500 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 84 to 89. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to 90.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson