Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
647
FNUS54 KEPZ 152005
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Dry and hot conditions will continue through most of southern NM
and west TX through Wednesday. The main fire concern will be low
RH values in the single digits with dry fuels. Winds will be the
limiting fact for fire spread as they will remain below 15 mph
though mid week. Moisture will return to the area as tropical moisture
is brought into the area from TX and Mexico. This will increase winds,
but also increase RH values into the 20-30 percent range. Storm chances
will continue for most of the higher terrain each day through the
weekend. Dry lightning will be less of a threat than last week with
lower level moisture in place and more rainfall reaching the ground.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-161215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-87.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to
southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (190700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (245300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 87 to 92. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ111-161215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (191300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (261800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the 90s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 96 to
100. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy, clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
$$
NMZ112-161215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (212900 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* Max humidity........19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (293700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 96 to 101. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ113-161215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (220100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (288700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-161215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........13-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-105.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (191200 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* Max humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-105.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (292900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 99 to 103. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 92 to 97. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ056-161215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
205 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (186100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (298900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to
100. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. East
winds around 15 mph.
$$