868
FXUS62 KFFC 050727
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
327 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025


...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 322 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

    - Mostly cloudy skies will bring the chance for isolated to
      scattered showers today and Monday as moisture increases
      amid breezy easterly winds.

    - Though chances for isolated to scattered showers and
      thunderstorms return and linger, rainfall totals will
      be meager for many.

    - Warmer than average through midweek, then seasonable post-
      front.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Clouds are on the increase this morning, and mostly cloudy skies
will remain the rule today as deeper moisture advects west-
northwestward into the forecast area. Our continued easterly flow
comes as surface high pressure centered off the Delmarva coastline
makes only slow eastward progress. Meanwhile, a weak low pressure
area over the northern Gulf will continue to lift northward into the
Louisiana coastal region today, reinforcing the general flow pattern
across the area. The resultant increased moisture, characterized by
anomalously high PWATS of 1.5 to near 2", will herald the return of
an opportunity for isolated to widely scattered showers and perhaps
an isolated thunderstorm or two this afternoon. Despite this
anomalously moist regime, QPF today will remain on the lighter side
as weak instability will limit deeper convection. As such, most
areas fortunate enough to see any rainfall will receive totals on
the order of a tenth of an inch or less with locally slightly higher
totals. Unfortunately, these amounts will not be sufficient to allay
our building drought conditions. Otherwise, the most notable
sensible weather will be the increased breeziness this afternoon
with occasional wind gusts over 20-25 mph at times.

Monday will bring similar forecast conditions to today with
continued easterly flow. A few isolated showers will remain possible
Monday afternoon amid the continued moist environment, though
coverage will likely be even a bit more sparse than today.

High temperatures today and Monday will be held to near normal given
increased cloud cover, ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s for
most. However, Monday morning lows in the mid to upper 60s for most
areas are several degrees above normal given limited overnight
cooling beneath mostly cloudy skies and amid the moist airmass.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

By Tuesday, with ridging in place across far southern CONUS and the
Gulf, much of the Southeast will be situated under weak, quasi-zonal
flow at the mid-levels. At the surface, a front riding along the
leading edge of an eastward-translating high pressure system will
continue to advance toward north Georgia. Meager (15-25%) chances
for showers and thunderstorms will thus re-enter the forecast for
north and north central Georgia by Tuesday afternoon as moisture
rebounds ahead of the front (PWATs of 1.6" or greater). Expect
accumulations to be light (<0.1") if they materialize. Lingering
subsidence associated with ridging being nudged off of the Eastern
Seaboard by the aforementioned surface system should continue to
stave off rainfall chances for the southern half of the forecast
area.

Throughout the day Wednesday into Thursday, the front will make its
way southeastward across the state, accompanied by 30-50% PoPs as it
goes. Concurrently, expect the surface high pressure trailing in the
wake of the front to slide into place across New England, setting
the stage for wedging to build in across our typical zones
(generally portions of north and east central Georgia, reflected
well in our temperature forecast). The combination of any lingering
frontal forcing and the drier wedge airmass filtering in from the
northeast will likely serve to focus low-end rain chances around
the periphery of the cool dome/moisture gradient to round off the
week.

Rainfall totals are likely to exhibit a gradient areawide -- with 4-
day amounts (Tuesday through Friday) between a third of an inch to
an inch across north Georgia, and up to a tenth of an inch for far
south central Georgia. Many locations across central Georgia are
likely to remain mostly if not fully dry through the extended, not
conducive to any strides made in improving our worsening drought
conditions.

Highs Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the 80s to near 90, about 5
to 10 degrees above average for early October. Expect a return to
the more seasonable 70s to lower 80s to round off the remainder of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Current VFR conditions will gradually transition to more
widespread MVFR cigs in the by 11-14Z with sustained improvement
back to VFR likely holding off until 18-20Z. Iso SHRA will be
possible during afternoon, mainly 20Z-00Z. Winds will remain E
with speeds largely 8-14 kts with gusts over 20 kts more likely
from late morning through the afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence on MVFR cig progression and iso SHRA potential.
High confidence on other elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  63  78  63 /  30  10  10   0
Atlanta         78  66  79  66 /  20  10  10   0
Blairsville     74  60  74  60 /  20  20  10  10
Cartersville    80  66  81  65 /  10  10   0   0
Columbus        83  68  85  67 /  30  20  10   0
Gainesville     76  65  77  64 /  20  10  10   0
Macon           80  68  84  66 /  40  10  20   0
Rome            83  67  83  67 /  10  10   0   0
Peachtree City  78  65  80  64 /  20  10  10   0
Vidalia         84  69  85  68 /  40  10  30   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...RW