746
FXUS62 KFFC 271847
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
147 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025



...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 127 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

 - Dry conditions will persist through Saturday, potentially
   leading to hazardous fire weather conditions across parts of
   north and central Georgia.

 - Scattered to widespread rain is expected Sunday through
   Tuesday, with the possibility (30% chance or lower) of a light
   wintry mix in the mountains Saturday night into early Sunday
   morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

The recent stretch of warm temperatures has come to an abrupt
end, as breezy and dry northwesterly flow has ushered in a
seasonably cool airmass across north and central Georgia. Skies
will remain mostly clear through Friday with the very dry airmass
in place. One downfall of this will be fire weather concerns due
to low relative humidity values in the afternoon, especially
across central GA. High temperatures will only reach the upper 40s
in north GA, with mid to upper 50s in central GA. These will cool
a few more degrees on Friday, reaching the mid to upper 40s in
north GA and low to mid 50s in central GA. Overnight lows tonight
and Friday night will also be 8-10 degrees below normal for this
time of year, with mid to upper 20s across north GA, and upper 20s
to low 30s across central GA.

As a reminder, we`ve ceased Frost/Freeze product issuances as a
majority of the area experienced a killing (agriculturally
speaking) hard freeze a few weeks ago, but it`s still prudent to
remember to protect the 4 Ps (people, plants, pets, pipes) with
these below freezing overnight lows.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

Saturday will bring the potential for another Fire Danger
Statement due to low relative humidity in the afternoon and
evening, as well as increasingly dry finer fuels.

Sunday through Tuesday will bring the return of rainfall across
north and central Georgia. Phasing of the polar jet stream and
subtropical jet stream over much of the eastern CONUS will support
deep-layer southwesterly flow and a feed of Gulf moisture across
the County Warning Area (CWA). Like the previous long term
discussion mentioned, frozen precipitation may mix in with rain at
the onset of the rainfall across parts of far north Georgia
(mainly in the highest elevations of the mountains) on Saturday
night into early Sunday morning, as something of a cold air
damming wedge will be in place. Forecast soundings (both
deterministic and ensemble) are supportive of this playing out,
and light accumulations will be possible (again, in the highest
elevations of the mountains).

Given overnight/early morning temperatures in the upper 20s to
mid-30s across much of north Georgia through the long term period,
will need to keep an eye on PoPs and temperature profiles for
additional potential for brief windows of frozen precipitation --
namely early Monday and early Wednesday. At this time, ensemble
forecast soundings depict ample dry air in the mid-/upper-levels
both mornings, which if realized, would limit frozen precipitation.

At this time, the bigger story for the long term period will be
total rainfall from Sunday through Tuesday. A much-needed
widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain is currently forecast, with
swaths up to 3 inches where especially heavy/repetitive rainfall
occurs. Ensemble guidance (both the GEFS and EPS) depicts a
surface low developing along the Gulf Coast on Tuesday and
shifting northeast along the coast of the Carolinas through the
day. The path that the low takes will have an impact on where
heavy rainfall associated with convergence/banding/convection
occurs. Given our current forecast, much of north Georgia
(including the I-85 and I-20 corridors) could receive the upper
end of expected rainfall (widespread 2 inches).

Outside of milder conditions across parts of central Georgia
Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday, temperatures will only reach the low-
to-mid 50s each day, with highs in the 40s in the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conds to continue with SKC or FEW cigs at 20-25kft. Winds
will remain out of the NW at 7-12kts with gusts to 20-22kts during
the afternoon and evening. Winds start to weaken and turn
northerly Friday evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence in all elements.

Culver

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          28  49  29  50 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         30  48  31  52 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     20  41  22  44 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    24  48  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        30  53  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     29  48  29  48 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           29  53  29  56 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            28  51  28  55 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  27  49  27  54 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         31  55  31  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...Culver