350
FXUS62 KFFC 050617
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
117 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025


    - Rounds of rainfall are expected, especially across Middle
      Georgia, where the highest rainfall amounts are forecast
      through the weekend. Flash flooding and river flooding are
      not expected.

    - Temperatures will be near seasonal norms to below normal
      through the week ahead.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 102 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

Waves of rainfall will keep things damp through the short term.
The forecast area remains situated within southwest flow aloft
with perturbations bringing rounds of rainfall. Increasing
isentropic lift has led to fairly widespread light rain so far
with the highest concentration of moderate rainfall across Middle
Georgia. More persistent and widespread rainfall will overspread
the area from late this evening through Friday morning as a
midlevel wave swings eastward and a weak associated surface low
pushes along the northern Gulf Coast. Rainfall will then taper off
across north Georgia by midday as the axis of moisture shifts
southward. Still, intermittent showers can be expected into
tomorrow night across Middle Georgia within the corridor of moist
southwest flow. The highest QPF will be for areas south of I-20
through tomorrow night, consistent with the most persistent
rainfall, where amounts could reach near or over 1" by Saturday
morning. Farther north, amounts from a quarter to half inch would
be more typical.

Temperatures will remain on the cool side amid the clouds and
rainfall with highs today struggling to lift out of the 40s for
most and maxing out in the low 50s for a few spots. Low
temperatures will remain above freezing tonight into Friday
morning, even in far north Georgia where lows in the mid 30s are
forecast. This will prevent any wintry precip concerns Friday
morning. Highs Friday will again range from the mid-to-upper 40s
in northeast Georgia to as warm as the mid 50s in Middle Georgia.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 102 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

The long term period picks up on Saturday, in the midst of a
rainy and cloudy weather pattern across much of Georgia. Model
guidance continues to depict the greatest rainfall totals
maximized across middle/central Georgia, with generally 2 or more
inches of rain along and south of a line from Muscogee Co. to
Baldwin Co. to Glascock Co. Our confidence in this favored area
for the most rainfall is fairly high, as global ensembles and the
hi-res guidance that goes out 60+ hours show very similar
solutions at the surface and aloft regarding the track of a
surface low across the northern Gulf and the evolution of
mid-/upper-level troughing, respectively. Still, it would be
realistic to expect the 2-inch total rainfall contour to shift by
a row of counties north or south as the forecast evolves and is
fine-tuned over the next 24-48 hours.

Instability (MLCAPE, MUCAPE, mid-level lapse rates) will be
lacking during this rainy period, so not expecting convection (and
as a result, not expecting a flash flooding or river flooding
threat). If anything, periods of steady, moderate rainfall will
continue to chip away at the prolonged drought conditions across
parts of the state, evidenced by this week`s drought improvement
following previous days of rainfall.

Monday will bring the cessation of rain and dense cloud cover, as
expansive high pressure and a dry airmass overtake much of the
eastern CONUS. Additionally, overnight/early morning lows on
Tuesday and Wednesday will be noticeably cooler than earlier in
the long term period, with widespread low-to-mid 30s and isolated
areas with lows in the 20s both mornings.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025

Widespread LIFR and IFR conditions (200 to 900 ft AGL and
visibility of 2 to 5 SM) will continue in north and central
Georgia through at least 06Z Saturday. Widespread rain and drizzle
are expected through 16Z Friday, then rainfall should be more
focused in central Georgia. Winds will remain light (6 kt or less)
in the region through 06Z Saturday.


//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Moderate confidence in tower height ceilings through 16Z Friday.
Moderate confidence in a period of improved visibility and
ceilings between 18Z Friday and 00Z Saturday.
High confidence in light winds an continued precipitation.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          47  41  51  37 /  70  30  40  10
Atlanta         50  44  51  41 /  60  30  40  10
Blairsville     47  36  49  31 /  30  10  10  10
Cartersville    50  39  51  36 /  30  20  20  10
Columbus        55  46  53  45 /  70  60  70  20
Gainesville     47  42  51  37 /  50  20  30  10
Macon           54  44  54  44 /  80  60  80  30
Rome            54  41  55  38 /  20  10  20   0
Peachtree City  51  42  53  40 /  60  40  50  10
Vidalia         55  48  56  47 /  90  70  90  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...Hernandez