Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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925 FXUS62 KFFC 092355 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 655 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 638 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025 - Freeze Warning is in effect for early Monday morning for portions of western and northern Georgia. - A hard freeze is expected Monday night into Tuesday morning across most all of north and central Georgia. A Freeze Watch is in effect. - Light snow accumulations in the north Georgia mountains could lead to minor travel impacts between 2 PM and 10 PM, especially for elevations above 2000 ft. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025 An active short term period is in store as the frontal system continues to push southward across the forecast area. Starting off with this afternoon/evening with the severe threat. Areas of southeastern central Georgia have had ample time for heating today with dewpoints in the low 60s and temps in the upper 70s to low 80s, allowing for there to be enough instability to result in thunderstorm development. CAMs are showing clusters of showers over this area with isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. Nothing has really changed when it comes to the main threats being wind gusts up to 60 mph. With lapse rates overall not impressive, hail likely won`t be too much of a concern but can`t rule out small hail. Pushing into the overnight, the cold air begins pushing into the area with some moisture associated with the sfc low as it tracks closer. As a result flurries/snow showers are possible in the higher elevations where the temps are more likely to line up with the moisture areas. Getting into tomorrow, CAMs have been a bit more bullish of flurry potential as the sfc low approaches just shy of north Georgia which could enhance the ability for flurries to reach further than the higher elevations. There still remains uncertainty on if enough moisture can be squeezed out to see anything other than in the mountains but soundings have been leaning towards more moisture than this time yesterday over far north Georgia. Don`t be surprised if you see very light flurries reaching past the north Georgia mountains, but overall still no impacts are to be expected. The bigger story remains the coldest air of the season pushing into the area. A freeze warning has been issued for overnight tonight into tomorrow morning for the northern portions of the area where temps will reach into the upper 20s to low 30s. Daytime highs tomorrow top out at 20-25 degrees below normal in the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area (mountains don`t look to get above freezing). Pushing into Monday night into Tuesday morning a freeze watch has been issued for the entirety of north and central Georgia where temps are expected to reach into the 20-27 degree range with teens possible in the mountains. This is considered a hard freeze and thus will kill of any unprotected vegetation, ending the growing season. Did also keep with the trend of the past couple of shifts with blending in higher winds as the pressure gradient doesn`t look to let up through Monday night. Winds will be borderline wind advisory criteria but should stay just shy of 35mph. Gusts from 25-30mph are expected across the area with of course higher in the mountains. This along with temperatures will result in apparent Ts in the teens across much of the area (single digits possible in the mountains). && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday morning through next Saturday) Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025 Dry air filters in behind Monday`s front, and we`ll slowly see a steady rise in temperatures. Especially in afternoon high temps which are expected to fight their way back up into the low 70s by the end of the work week. Overnight lows are expected to remain close to freezing until Wednesday before steadily rising as the upper level flow becomes more zonal and we get a slight increase in moisture. Other than that, the weather becomes pretty benign again. Models are conflicted about the timing and possibility of a front that may bring another shot of rain and a few thunderstorms next weekend, but expect dry and pleasant conditions through the week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 638 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025 Gusty northwest winds (290 to 340 degrees) will be the main aviation hazard through 00Z Tuesday. Peak gusts in the 25 to 35 kt range are expected between 14Z and 22z Monday. Areas of MVFR ceilings (2500 to 3000 ft AGL) are possible in north Georgia before 12Z Monday. Snow flurries an snow showers may limit visibilities in the north Georgia mountains between 16Z Monday and 00Z Tuesday. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... High confidence in wind gusts near 30 kt between 14Z and 23Z Monday. High confidence in no snow at ATL. Moderate confidence in the ceilings through 15Z Monday. Albright && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 33 41 26 48 / 0 10 10 0 Atlanta 32 40 27 49 / 10 0 0 0 Blairsville 23 32 20 43 / 10 30 30 0 Cartersville 28 40 23 49 / 10 10 10 0 Columbus 36 47 26 53 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 32 39 27 46 / 10 10 10 0 Macon 36 47 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 31 43 26 52 / 10 10 10 0 Peachtree City 31 42 23 50 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 40 52 28 52 / 20 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Monday for GAZ001>009- 011>016-019>025-030>037-041>049-052>057-066>068. Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hernandez LONG TERM....Vaughn AVIATION...Albright