198
FXUS62 KFFC 271129
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
629 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 559 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

- Expect a cool and pleasant Thanksgiving under clear to mostly
      clear skies.

- Drier and cooler weather will persist through at least Saturday
  with any chance for rain likely holding off until next week.

- A Fire Danger Statement is in effect for portions of central
      and eastern Georgia this afternoon. Fire weather conditions
      will need to be monitored through Saturday due to low relative
      humidity.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 246 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

The combination of dry, northwesterly flow at the mid-levels and
building high pressure at the surface will support a mostly clear
and lovely (if brisk) Thanksgiving Day and end of the week. Over the
course of the day today, a reinforcing short of comparatively much
drier air will overspread the column -- that, combined with breezy
conditions as stronger gusts are mixed down from aloft post-front,
will result in dewpoints plummeting into the teens this afternoon.
As such, especially when taking into account lingering Moderate to
Severe Drought conditions across a swath of the area, a Fire Danger
Statement has been issued for much of central and east central
Georgia. Exercise extreme caution if burning outdoors. With little
in the way of an airmass change expected going into Friday -- and
drying subsidence expected to increase as the center of the surface
high noses closer -- subsequent Fire Danger Statement issuance for a
similarly bounded area is possible tomorrow.

Our stretch of unseasonably warm November weather officially comes
to an end today, with highs expected to be in the upper 40s to near
60 -- about 8-10 degrees *below* average for this time of year.
We`ve had a stretch of rather balmy nights in tow, but lows on
Friday morning will drop into the mid-20s to lower 30s. We`ve ceased
Frost/Freeze product issuances as a majority of the area experienced
a killing (agriculturally speaking) hard freeze a few weeks ago, but
it`s still prudent to remember to protect the 4 Ps: people, plants,
pets, pipes. Friday will be cooler still, with highs in the 40s to
mid-50s areawide.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 246 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

The weekend starts off with the continued dry and cool pattern with
high pressure over the area into Sunday. Pushing into Sunday into
Monday models are indicating a low pressure system swinging eastward
fro m the western CONUS and pushing into the great lakes region. A
cold front is expected to push into the area Sunday into Monday as
this low pressure pushes eastward with rain chances increasing from
the NW as early as early Sunday morning and then pushing through
into the afternoon and evening into central Georgia. Like most
fronts lately, the forcing will be well to the north, so the chances
much rainfall reaches the southeast portions of our area remain
lowered. There are a few indicators that there could be a brief
rain/snow mix over the far northeast Georgia mountains Sunday as
this system pushes through depending on the strength. Confidence is
lower on this scenario but would not be surprised to see this occur
in the higher elevations.

Pushing past this system the overall flow becomes unsettled with the
potential for another shot of rainfall to push into the area in the
Monday-Tuesday time frame. Timing is a bit uncertain at this time
and will come together better over the weekend, but kept with the
increased rain chances during this time frame. Late week could see
another push of rainfall but with the unsettled pattern will wait to
talk more on timing. High temps will be just below normal with daily
highs in the 50-60 degree range with overnight lows in the
30s-40s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conds to continue with primarily FEW-SCT cigs at 20-25kft.
SKC expected late pd. Winds will remain out of the NNW/NW at
7-12kts with gusts to 20-22kts.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          52  30  49  28 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         50  31  48  30 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     43  21  41  21 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    50  26  48  24 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        56  31  53  30 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     50  31  48  29 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           57  31  53  28 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            54  28  51  27 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  52  28  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         60  33  55  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...96