545
FXUS62 KFFC 191757
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1257 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025



...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Above normal temperatures will stick around into next week,
   with several daily record highs likely (70% chance) between
   Wednesday and Friday

 - Light rainfall is possible across north Georgia this afternoon
   for north Georgia and then again region wide Saturday, but
   improvements to the ongoing drought situation are unlikely as a
   result.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 507 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

A weak impulse in the upper level flow has created a weak
instability boundary across northern Georgia. Some light to
moderate showers are ongoing this morning as a result. As the
front pushes further south, it will encounter increasingly dry air
decreasing the chances of any kind of meaningful rainfall for the
rest of the CWA. Southwest flow will bring an increase in surface
moisture that will put an end to recent Fire Weather concerns and
make it feel less dry out there, but with it comes steadily
increasing temperatures.

Highs in the upper 70s and low 80s are likely today and tomorrow
which could break a few records at our climate sites. Temps will
run between 10-15 degrees above normal; a trend that will continue
into the long term.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 507 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

With ridging settling in over much of the southeast CONUS to start
off the longterm, temps will easily be able to rise  into the upper
70s to the low 80s across much of the area Thursday through
Saturday. We`ll actually be on record watch for day time highs these
days with all 4 climate sites either forecasted to break the record
or tie/approach the record. Temps will be 15-20 degrees above normal
for this time of year.

A low pressure system looks to push eastward from where it has been
over the southwest Friday into Saturday with an associated front
pushing overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Rain chances towards
the weekend have increased over the northern half of the state where
confidence is increasing in elevated rain chances. The CAMs should
begin coming into timeframe for this system during the day today
which will give us a better picture of timing. At this point any
organized severe threat remains low with the low pressure expected
to be weaker as well as weaker instability. QPF values are up to
0.5" through the weekend so not a drought buster by any means, but
north Georgia is likely to see the higher amounts whereas central
Georgia will be unlikely to see much if any rainfall at this time
unfortunately.

There are some indications we will remain in a somewhat unsettled
pattern into next week with the upper level flow leading to rain
chances in the low end range at the moment. Confidence remains low
but CPC has indicated a slight risk for increased rainfall into this
time period so will keep an eye on it as the week pushes onward.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

Some MVFR to low VFR cigs affecting some metro TAF sites and CSG
at the start of the TAf period. Expectation is that these should
begin to scatter some through the next several hours. Winds this
afternoon are W to WSW at 5-10 kts, some gusts above 15 kts. Winds
go light to calm overnight. Could see area of BR/FG build in from
south along with some IFR (or possibly LIFR) cloud cover tonight.
Have introduced TEMPO for IFR cigs and MVFR vsby during 11Z-14Z
when impacts are most likely. Medium confidence on these making it
into the metro TAF sites.


//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium Thursday morning cigs/vsby, high all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          77  54  76  57 /  10   0   0  10
Atlanta         77  58  78  60 /   0   0  10  10
Blairsville     70  50  72  54 /  30   0  10  30
Cartersville    77  55  78  58 /  10   0  10  10
Columbus        80  58  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     74  55  76  58 /  10   0  10  20
Macon           81  57  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            79  57  80  59 /  10   0  10  20
Peachtree City  78  57  80  57 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         83  58  83  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Lusk