368
FXUS62 KFFC 201948
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025



...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 233 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

 - Above-normal temperatures will persist through the middle of
   next week. A few record highs may be met or broken over the
   coming days at our four main climate sites.

 - A few rounds of rainfall and thunderstorms are expected through
   next week, but it is unlikely that much drought improvement
   will occur.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

Light to moderate rain and embedded thunderstorms are occurring
across the Mid-South along a stationary front and ahead of a
shortwave trough slowly lifting out of the Four Corners region. As
this shortwave exits to the northeast and another shortwave drops
south along the California coast tomorrow (Friday), the ridge
over much of the Southeast will be reinforced. The result will be
continued warmer-than-average temperatures (by as much as 15-17
degrees for highs and 22-24 degrees for lows).

Now back to the rain occurring across the Mid-South -- this
activity will shift eastward through the rest of the afternoon,
pushing across far north Georgia this evening and overnight.
Embedded storms will remain a possibility, but severe storms are
not expected given very limited instability. Forecast soundings
and model guidance suggest areas of fog (and low clouds) overnight
into tomorrow morning, but current thinking is that coverage will
be less widespread than last night/this morning`s fog and low
clouds, perhaps due at least in part to increased mid-/upper-
level cloud cover.

Another push of rain and isolated storms is expected Friday
afternoon into Saturday, with activity spreading in from northwest
to southeast. Again, severe storms are not expected given overall
limited instability. That said, an uptick in storm coverage (and
perhaps a couple strong storms) will be possible Friday overnight
into early Saturday morning as hi-res guidance shows CAPE
increasing ahead of a surface low that will be tracking across the
Tennessee River Valley. Rainfall from this evening through early
Saturday morning is forecast to total as little as a trace to as
much as 0.75 inch. Portions of central Georgia will have to wait
until the systems talked about in the long term discussion to get
any rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

The extended period starts off with the frontal boundary that
moved into the area Friday night laying across central GA. We will
still see some light showers and isolated thunderstorms Sat but a
drier airmass begins to push into NW GA shortly after sunrise.
The actual front moves into S GA/N FL by Sat afternoon but there
will still be some lingering showers across central GA. This drier
airmass pushes into the state from NW to SE with decreasing
clouds across the area Sat. Will see some cloud cover across N GA
Sat night with some backside moisture sweeping through the area
but not expecting any precipitation High pressure centered over
western KY/TN builds slowly SE Sun into Mon keeping things warm
and dry through Mon evening. The ridge center moves NE into the
New England states through Monday night allowing the next frontal
boundary to push into the area.

The next frontal boundary begins developing across NM/TX Sunday
evening with its deepening closed low center over western KS by
daybreak Mon. The low center continues moving NE into the western
great lake states by early Tue morning. Its associated cold front
begins pushing showers into North GA Monday night with the frontal
boundary swinging slowly through the region Tue/Wed. This front
does look like it should clear the CWA by Thu morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

CIGs have gradually improved through the morning, with mainly VFR
CONDs expected through the remainder of the afternoon and
evening. CIGs and VIS will be forecast challenges overnight into
tomorrow (Friday) morning, as at this time, coverage of low clouds
and reduced VIS looks to be lower/patchier than what occurred
this morning. Given this uncertainty, have FEW/SCT IFR/MVFR clouds
and reduced VIS in most of the TAFs overnight into tomorrow
morning. Winds will be light out of the SW at ATL today, becoming
light/VRB to calm this evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Low confidence on coverage/evolution of low clouds and reduced VIS
overnight into tomorrow morning.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  78  62  77 /  10  20  50  20
Atlanta         60  77  63  76 /  10  30  60  30
Blairsville     55  72  57  69 /  50  40  80  40
Cartersville    58  77  61  76 /  20  40  70  30
Columbus        57  80  62  80 /   0  10  40  20
Gainesville     59  77  62  75 /  20  40  70  20
Macon           57  82  61  80 /   0   0  20  20
Rome            60  78  63  78 /  20  50  70  30
Peachtree City  57  77  61  77 /  10  20  60  30
Vidalia         57  83  60  81 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Martin