


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND
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124 FXUS63 KFGF 181431 AFDFGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 931 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a 40 percent chance for 0.25 inch of rain across portions of northwest Minnesota Sunday night through Tuesday. && .UPDATE... Issued at 931 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 Winds are slowly picking up, and are still on track to gust to 35 mph in northeastern ND this afternoon. Otherwise the few very localized patches of fog that developed in Lakes Country around sunrise seem to be burning off quickly. No major changes to the forecast at this time. UPDATE Issued at 634 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 The forecast remains on track this morning with temperatures in the 40s and winds beginning to increase across the Devils Lake Basin. Look for a continuation of northwest winds through the day, with gusts expected to reach as high as 35 mph in northeast North Dakota. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 430 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 ...Synopsis... Westerly flow becomes more northwesterly today across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest as low pressure continues to depart the region. Winds are expected to increase by late this morning, with gusts up to 35 mph across portions of northeastern North Dakota, mainly west of the Red River Valley. Shortwave ridging then fills into eastern North Dakota heading into Sunday, followed by the approach of a relatively strong H5 low. This will bring rain chances back into the area starting Sunday evening, then persisting through Tuesday morning. Precipitation values are expected to be generally light, with a 40 percent chance to see 0.25 inch of rain through Tuesday morning. Amounts will be highest in northwest Minnesota and the northern Red River Valley, with an upper bound on precip values of just under 1 inch. There is a low chance for a rain/snow mix as the system departs late Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Ridging fills into the area once more heading into the middle of next week, which is likely to persist through at least Friday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 634 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025 Low stratus is bringing MVFR to IFR ceilings to KBJI this morning, with VFR conditions at all other TAF sites. Look for winds to increase out of the northwest this morning with gusts upwards of 25 to 30 knots, especially for KDVL. Winds diminish later this evening and become slightly more westerly. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && $$ UPDATE...Lynch/Rafferty DISCUSSION...Lynch AVIATION...Lynch