Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
508 FXUS65 KFGZ 101104 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 404 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions with continued warm temperatures are expected into next week. && .DISCUSSION...Strong ridging across the eastern Pacific will continue to keep warm and dry conditions with generally light winds across the desert southwest. The ridge starts to weaken a bit over the weekend with a dry trough finding its way through the region. Overall, expect daytime highs to be around 10-20 degrees above normal through at least Saturday, before we see slight cooling take place due to the trough passing through the area. Nighttime lows will be cold as dry air, light winds, and clear skies, lead to good radiational cooling. Lows will gradually moderate and warm ever so slightly through the end of the week before cooling off again into early next week. While daytimes winds will be light and variable around 5-15 mph each day, we will see elevated winds in areas along and south of the Mogollon Rim at night. The trough moves trough over the weekend and into early next week but is, unfortunately, dry and other than some increasing cloud cover and slightly cooler temperatures, it will be uneventful. Once the trough move through, the ridge strengthens again over the eastern Pacific and a continuation of the dry and warm weather is expected through the rest of the week. && .AVIATION...Wednesday 10/12Z through Thursday 11/12Z...VFR conditions. with mainly light and variable winds at 10 kts or less. Locally higher winds along and south of terrain features overnight. OUTLOOK...Thursday 11/12Z through Saturday 13/12Z...VFR with mainly light and variable winds expected. Locally higher winds along and south of terrain features overnight. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Thursday...Dry and warm conditions continue. Light and variable daytime winds around 5 to 15 mph each day. Minimum RH values between 15-35% each afternoon. Friday through Sunday...Dry and warm conditions will continue through the weekend. Light and variable daytime winds around 5 to 15 mph each day. Minimum RH values between 15-35% each afternoon. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Meola AVIATION...Meola FIRE WEATHER...Meola For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff