021
FXUS65 KFGZ 261635
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
935 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Above normal temperatures, dry conditions and light
winds will persist through at least the end of the week. An
unsettled weather pattern could return this weekend/early next
week, but confidence is low at this time.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Warm days and cool nights will be the main weather
story through the end of the week. An area of high pressure
continues to build over the Southwest, allowing daytime highs to
reach 2 to 10 degrees above normal each afternoon through Friday.
Even with the pleasant afternoon temperatures, overnight lows will
continue to fall below freezing for many locations across the High
Country. Either way, looks like the weather should be quite nice
for any Thanksgiving Festivities!

Over the weekend the previously mentioned ridge looks to break
down as a long-wave trough slide across the upper half of the
Midwest. Initially, we`ll likely see temperatures cool a few
degrees on Saturday, before a secondary trough swings down from
the north. This secondary low is where the forecast becomes more
uncertain. Some guidance suggests this low bringing rain and high
elevation snow to northern Arizona by Sunday night, while others
show the core of moisture staying out of Arizona completely. For
now, understand a pattern change is likely coming late this
weekend/early next week, but confidence behind any precipitation
reaching the area is very low. Continue to check back for updates
though, especially with additional holiday traffic!

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 26/18Z through Thursday 27/18Z...VFR
conditions with light and VRB winds. Locally gusty NE winds 15-25
kts downwind of terrain features overnight from 03Z to 15Z.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 27/18Z through Saturday 29/18Z...VFR conditions
with light and VRB winds on Thursday, becoming S/SW 5-10 kts on
Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday...Expect dry conditions with
daytime temperatures ranging from 5-10 degrees above normal. Winds
will be light, but trending east through northeast along and
downwind of higher terrain, variable elsewhere. Minimum relative
humidity values generally ranging from 20 to 40 percent.

Friday through Sunday...Dry weather and above normal temperatures
continue for Friday and Saturday. Cooler conditions with chances of
rain and snow showers have been delayed until Sunday, confidence is
low. Winds southwest to west 5 to 15 mph Friday and Saturday, then
southwest 10 to 20 mph on Sunday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Konieczny
AVIATION...Humphreys
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff