Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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097 FXUS65 KFGZ 012242 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 342 PM MST Sat Nov 1 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm conditions with generally light winds will continue through the weekend and most of next week. && .DISCUSSION...A large-scale ridge containing well above normal 500 mb hghts will begin to decrease in amplitude Sunday night as a weak s/wv moves into the ridge from the west. Daytime temperatures will peak on Sunday. Upper level flow then becomes more zonal for the remainder of the week, with a few s/wvs to our north kicking up breezes from time to time. However, it will be dry and hghts are still above normal. This means daytime highs will stay above normal, peaking on Sunday. This will be especially true over higher terrain and areas south of the Mogollon Rim. Strong cooling overnight and lack of decent mixing will keep areas north of the Mogollon Rim a bit cooler, but still just above normal. Precipitation chances? None to speak of, for at least another week. && .AVIATION...Sunday 02/00Z through Monday 03/00Z...VFR conditions. Winds light and variable daytime, light and variable or terrain driven overnight. OUTLOOK...Monday 03/00Z through Wednesday 05/00Z...VFR conditions. Light and variable winds during overnight periods, SW 5-15 kts with gusts up to 20 kts Monday and Tuesday afternoons. && .FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Dry, daytime highs 10 to 15 degrees above normal Sunday, 5 to 10 degrees above normal Monday. Light and variable winds Sunday, S-SW 5-15 mph on Monday. Minimum RH`s in the afternoon 10-20%. Tuesday through Thursday...Dry with temperatures 5-10 degrees above average through the week. Winds S-SW 5-15 mph Tuesday and Wednesday, W-NW 5-15 mph Thursday. Minimum RH`s in the afternoon between 10-25%. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Peterson AVIATION...JJ FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff