Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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131
FXUS65 KFGZ 041950
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1250 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions and warming daytime temperatures
well into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Well, the evolving pattern for at least the next 7
days looks an awful lot like a locked and loaded La Nia. We will be
just east of a large eastern Pacific ridge through the period. This
means nearly clear skies and warming temperatures, especially over
higher terrain and south of the Mogollon Rim. Some areas north of
the Mogollon Rim may be susceptible to low-level inversions for the
next several days, potentially delaying the warming until next week
as the ridge axis moves farther east.

That`s about it! Dry, light winds and a warming trend, enjoy!

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 04/18Z through Friday 05/18Z...VFR conditions
persist with mostly clear skies. Increasing mid-level clouds
becoming BKN-OVC overnight is expected before clearing out Friday
afternoon. Mostly light north and east winds, 5-10 kts.

OUTLOOK...Friday 05/18Z through Sunday 07/18Z...VFR conditions
continue with clear skies. Winds remain light and variable for
Friday and Sunday afternoons, with increasing west-northwest winds
on Saturday, 10-20 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Friday and Saturday...Dry and warmer conditions are
expected each day with little to no cloud cover. Winds will remain
light, under 10 mph and predominantly from the north-northwest on
Friday, followed by breezier west-northwest winds, 10 to 25 mph, on
Saturday.

Sunday through Tuesday...The dry and mild conditions persist with
daytime temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average by Tuesday.
Afternoon winds will remain light and mainly from the north and
northeast each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...LaGuardia
FIRE WEATHER...LaGuardia

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff