Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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677
FXUS65 KFGZ 042302
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
402 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions and warming daytime temperatures
well into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Well, the evolving pattern for at least the next 7
days looks an awful lot like a locked and loaded La Nia. We will be
just east of a large eastern Pacific ridge through the period. This
means nearly clear skies and warming temperatures, especially over
higher terrain and south of the Mogollon Rim. Some areas north of
the Mogollon Rim may be susceptible to low-level inversions for the
next several days, potentially delaying the warming until next week
as the ridge axis moves farther east.

That`s about it! Dry, light winds and a warming trend, enjoy!

&&

.AVIATION...Friday 05/00Z through Saturday 06/00Z...VFR conditions
expected through the TAF period, with increasing cloud cover
expected overnight. Clear skies forecast to return by 18Z Friday.
Light and variable winds anticipated through the period.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 06/00Z through Monday 08/00Z...VFR conditions
forecast through the weekend. Other than west through north winds
10-20 kts Saturday afternoon, light and variable winds should
prevail.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Friday and Saturday...Dry and warmer conditions are
expected each day with little to no cloud cover. Winds will remain
light, under 10 mph and predominantly from the north-northwest on
Friday, followed by breezier west-northwest winds, 10 to 25 mph, on
Saturday.

Sunday through Tuesday...The dry and mild conditions persist with
daytime temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average by Tuesday.
Afternoon winds will remain light and mainly from the north and
northeast each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Konieczny
FIRE WEATHER...LaGuardia

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weather.gov/flagstaff