311
FXUS63 KGID 101120
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
520 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty winds (30-50mph) continue this morning, gradually
  decreasing after sunrise. A High Wind Warning in effect until
  6am for counties north of I-80.

- Light rain/snow possible (15-20%) this evening/night for north/northeast
  portions of the area.

- Roller Coaster temperatures through the forecast period, with highs
  ranging from the 50s/60s Thursday to the 20s/30s this
  weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 308 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Gusty winds are ongoing across the area this morning, gusting 30-
50mph, strongest along and north of Interstate 80. A High Wind
Warning remains in effect until 6AM for counties north of I-80.
Winds are expected to gradually decrease throughout the daytime
hours as the pressure gradient weakens over the area, becoming light
by the mid-late afternoon. After a well above normal day on Tuesday,
highs will be closer their climatological norms, in the 40s. Lift
increases over the area this evening, bringing a chance (15-20%) for
light snow/rain to north/northeastern portions of the area. Any
accumulations look to be very light (up to a dusting of snow). Lows
tonight will be in the mid 20s to low 30s.

A warm front lifts over the area on Thursday as the next clipper
system dives into the Plains/Midwest. In the warm sector of this
system, well above normal temperatures are expected, as highs soar
into the upper 50s to upper 60s. Far southwestern portions of the
area could even reach 70 degrees! There remains some uncertainty on
highs northeast of the Tri-Cities, due to remaining spread in model
guidance on the exact location of the front. Regardless, it will be
another nice day to enjoy if you can, before cooler weather arrives
this weekend. Highs this weekend will be in the 20s and 30s for most
locations. The roller coaster temperatures continue next week as
highs climb back above normal under upper level ridging.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Today through tonight...

A broad upper trough is over the eastern 1/2 to 2/3rds of the
country with upper ridging over California extending to southwest
Texas. A shortwave trough embedded within the upper trough is moving
over the northern Plains/upper Midwest with an associated surface
low extending southward towards west Texas and eastern New Mexico.
The surface low has resulted in southwest to west winds across south
central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas. This has also
resulted in a warm up across the area with high temperatures today
expected to be in the 50s and 60s. A cold front will move into the
area this evening into tonight as the shortwave moves southeastward.
This front will bring gusty northwest winds across the area this
evening and tonight. Sustained winds of 20 to 40 MPH are expected
with gusts of 30 to 60 MPH. A High Wind Warning is in effect along
and north of a line from Sherman to Polk County from 6 PM this
evening to 6 AM Wednesday. Some sprinkles or light rain showers may
occur this evening (around a 10% chance) as the front moves into the
area. Low temperatures tonight will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Wednesday and Wednesday night...

South central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas will be
on the backside of the upper trough on Wednesday. Winds will
initially be gusty out of the northwest then will weaken and switch
to the south during the evening. Temperatures will be cooler with
highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s on Wednesday. Some models are
indicating an increase in upper lift across portions of northeast
and east Nebraska Wednesday evening and night with precipitation
developing into central and south central Nebraska (mainly for
locations along and north and east of the Tri-Cities). The NAM12
does not indicate this increase in upper lift; therefore, is not
showing any precipitation in central or eastern Nebraska. The GFS
does indicate the increase in upper lift and is showing
precipitation Wednesday evening and night across the above mentioned
locations. If this precipitation develops and moves across portions
of the area, some of it may be in the form of snow due to overnight
temperatures Wednesday night cooling into the mid 20s to mid 30s.
Any snow accumulations are expected to be light.

Thursday and Thursday night...

The previously mentioned upper trough is expected to move further
east on Thursday, and a surface trough will move into Nebraska and
Kansas from the west. This surface trough is expected to create a
large temperature gradient across Nebraska and Kansas. There is
quite a bit of uncertainty in high temperatures on Thursday due to
the placement of this gradient. At this time, expect highs on
Thursday to range from the upper 40s in the northeastern part of the
forecast area to the upper 60s in the southwest. Winds on Thursday
will switch to the west (in the warm sector) then to the north later
in the day/evening as a cold front begins to move into the area. Low
temperatures Thursday night will range from the low 20s in the north
to the mid 30s in the south.

Friday through Monday...

A surface high will be across the area on Friday with northerly
winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central
Kansas. High temperatures behind the cold front on Friday are
expected to range from the low 30s to mid 40s. Winds will switch to
the east and southeast Friday night with temperatures dropping to
around 11 degrees to the low/mid 20s. Another cold front is expected
to push into the area on Saturday with high temperatures only in the
low 20s to low 40s. Low temperatures Saturday night will be in the
single digits to low teens. High temperatures on Sunday will be
similar to those on Saturday. Low temperatures Sunday night are
expected to be in the teens and low 20s. A warm up is in store for
Monday with the surface high moving further east. High temperatures
on Monday are expected to be in the low 40s to low/mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 511 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Northwest winds gusting 25-30kts will gradually decrease through
the rest of the daytime hours. Gusts fall below 15kts by the
mid afternoon hours, becoming light and variable around sunset
as winds shift to the south-southeast. FEW-SCT clouds are
possible throughout the day. BKN-OVC ceilings of 050-100 move
into the area around sunset, but gradually clear after midnight.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST early this morning for
     NEZ039>041-046>049.
KS...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Davis
DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Davis