689
FNUS75 KGJT 190129
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Rabbit Valley Fire...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
729 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...This cooler airmass will shift East with very
warm conditions moving back in for Wednesday. This will keep
humidity down into the single digits by early afternoon and the
deep mixing will promote some gusty afternoon winds. Critical
fire weather conditions of low humidity and gusty winds are
possible and should be planned for. Zero chance of wetting rainfall
through this forecast.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) after midnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
Max humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast after sunset.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-15000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....90-93.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    West 10 to 15 mph by 1400 with gusts up to
                    25 mph possible.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent by peak heating.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 13900 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 27 mph by 1300.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
Max humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 mph shifting to the east 10
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 mph becoming east 10 mph
                    overnight.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...John Roedell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416380.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jwroedell@blm.gov