Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
726
FNUS53 KGRR 181932
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
...Breezy and Hot Conditions into this evening...
.DISCUSSION...The winds will continue to be gusty
through the evening as the pressure gradient tightens
up. Wednesday will feature more sunshine and it will
be hot. An isolated thunderstorm could develop,
mainly in the afternoon. Gusty winds will persist
as well. A cold front will try to drop down from the north
on Thursday. If it makes it into the region then,
there will be a wind shift and not as hot temperatures,
mainly for northern zones.
MIZ037>039-043>045-190830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....64-69 near Lake Michigan and around 73 Inland.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
degrees warmer Inland.
Max humidity........88-93 percent near Lake Michigan and 79-84
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 14 percent
drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-570 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 2 PM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 2
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....960-1140 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........0 percent.
24 hr trend......84 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2100-2600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the northeast
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....110-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.21 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.18 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-190830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1070-1360 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........0 percent.
24 hr trend......84 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
northeast overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....140-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-190830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....66-71 near Lake Michigan and around 74 Inland.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 1
degree cooler Inland.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1700-2200
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-350 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 11 AM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....850-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....64-69.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........0 percent.
24 hr trend......84 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the northeast
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.41 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-190830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 76.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-420 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 11 AM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....990-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........0 percent.
24 hr trend......79 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....130-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-190830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 74.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........0 percent.
24 hr trend......84 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the northeast
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....390-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.27 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
5 to 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
$$