368
FNUS53 KGRR 180744
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...Hot and humid weather for this week...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid conditions will continue this week. Dry
weather will prevail for the most part but isolated pop up showers
and storms are possible each afternoon away from Lake Michigan.
The next widespread chance of rain is not likely to come until
Saturday night or Sunday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-182015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 2
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1140-1330 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-560 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85 near Lake Michigan and around 88 Inland.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 5 percent
                    wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....840-1010 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-182015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 11 AM until 6 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 AM until 7 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1240 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.23 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....950-1220 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-182015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1320 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
                    the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-360 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....920-970 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-182015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1160-1290 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-390 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-182015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1040-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-950 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast overnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Lows in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs
around 80.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$