Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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176
FXUS64 KHGX 141125
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
525 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm conditions will prevail for the next week.
 `
- Periods of late night and early morning fog possible on a daily
  basis.

- Low chances of rain re-enter the forecast early next week, followed
  by some better chances during the second half of the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1219 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Continued mid-upper ridging will keep things on the dry side for the
next several days, though we will see a gradual increase in
dewpoints and corresponding RHs as the weekend progresses. Ridge
somewhat weakens/flattens early next week making for less subsidence
to be overcome to get a shower or two to initiate...but even then
most of us won`t see anything through at least Tuesday. Heading into
the middle to end parts of next week we`ll see the next western trof
approaching the region. Though there are understandable timing
differences this far out, the general model consensus is that this
one will dig a bit deeper into Mexico and eventually Tx.
Disturbances in the southwesterly flow aloft in advance along with
better moisture availability points to some some better chances of
seeing some wet stuff...and moreso along its associated frontal
passage Thursday or Friday (see timing issues above). 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 524 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Typical VSBY issues to start at known foggy spots CXO and LBX, but
within a few hours should be VFR area-wide with SE winds around 10
knots developing for the afternoon. With not much change in
environment, bring back reduced VSBY for CXO and LBX late.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1219 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Light to moderate onshore winds and low seas will prevail into early
next week. As past discussions have mentioned, can`t rule out the
possibility that we see some inland fog briefly spill over into
northern parts of the bays. Though a non-zero chance tonight, it
looks somewhat more favorable Sunday into early next week. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  83  60  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  82  62  84  63 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  79  70  80  70 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...47