Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
        
        
                
        
            
        Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
598 FXUS66 KHNX 041015 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 215 AM PST Tue Nov 4 2025 && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Slightly cooler temperatures this afternoon. 2. System moves through the area late Tuesday through early Thursday morning bringing valley rain, mountain snow, and increased gusts in the desert areas. 3. Wind Advisory issued for the Mojave Slopes from 4 AM Wednesday through 10 AM Thursday. 4. Temperatures will be seasonable until Saturday before a warmup on Sunday and Monday. && .DISCUSSION... The ridge that has brought above average temperatures the past few days has moved east. Today, we are expecting temperatures to drop a few degrees but will remain above average. There is a 70 to 95 percent chance of highs of at least 75 degrees today in the Valley. However, a trough moves in late tonight into early tomorrow morning. This trough brings a 10 to 35 percent chance of a tenth of an inch of rain for Valley locations south of Merced and a 65 to 75 percent chance of a tenth of an inch or more in Merced and Mariposa. Snow levels will be at around 9,000 feet but will be concentrated in the high elevations of Mariposa and Madera counties. Tioga Pass has a 47 percent chance of 2 inches of snow or more with this system while Tuolumne Meadows has a 30 percent chance of an inch or more. Otherwise, snow chances will be below 25 percent for even any accumulation. Wind gusts will also pick up with this trough along the ridges of the Sierra Nevada. However, the concern with the winds will be more on the downslope side in Inyo and Mono counties. Wind gusts also pick up along the Mojave Slopes and Highway 14 in Kern County. There is a Wind Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday through 10 AM Thursday due to a 70 to 85 percent chance of wind gusts of at least 40 mph along the Mojave Slopes. A ridge of high pressure begins to develop and move in on Friday and will build through the weekend into Monday bringing temperatures back up. There is a 5 to 35 percent chance of highs of at least 80 degrees for the Valley on Sunday and Monday. && .AVIATION... Patches of IFR to MVFR until 17Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... On Tuesday November 4 2025, No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Merced County, and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium. Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 10 AM PST Thursday for CAZ338. && $$ JPK weather.gov/hanford