369
FXUS64 KHUN 111127
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
527 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 527 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

 - Near record or record cold temperatures may be recorded early
   this morning.

 - Temperatures will warm up through the week and into the
   weekend.

 - Next chance of rain will not be until Sunday into Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 334 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

A bitter cold morning across the Tennessee Valley this Veterans
Day, with 09Z temperatures in the low to mid 20s. These values are
at or near record low values for this date. Thus, it will be
critical to bundle up as you head out the door this morning! Winds
will veer to the south and west today, allowing for some gradual
warming to take place as highs "return" to the upper 40s to lower
50s (about 10-15 degrees higher than yesterday). Some scattered to
broken decks of high clouds were noted on satellite and they will
clip the area later this morning. However, at least partly sunny
conditions will be anticipated and all in all there should be
plenty of sunshine to help make it feel a little bit warmer.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 900 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

As the longwave trough that encapsulates much of the Eastern
CONUS swings northeastwards, an amplifying ridge builds on the
Western CONUS. At the sfc, high pressure builds across the
Southeast, providing breezy southwesterly flow and plenty of
sunshine. This will help us break the chill from our bones that
set in today/Monday and that will persist into Tuesday morning by
quickly "warming" us up into the upper 40s to lower 50s by Tuesday
afternoon. As previously mentioned, Tuesday morning lows will
challenge records: 22 degrees (1926) at HSV and 19 degrees (1913)
at MSL.

The warming trend will continue into mid week as the ridge expands
and we are placed in more of a west/southwesterly flow at low and
mid levels on Wednesday which will also start to return some
moisture. Highs on Wednesday will feel warm in the low to upper 60s
across the TN Valley with plenty of sunshine. There may be a weak
front that slides into the TN Valley on Thursday that is from a
displaced sfc low north of the Great Lakes, however there will not
be any impacts beyond a wind shift to the forecast area. In fact,
highs on Thursday should reach the mid to upper 60s. Lows will be
much more seasonable by Thursday night in the low to mid 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 900 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Upper ridging and surface high pressure look to largely dominate
the Tennessee Valley for the first half of the long term period.
However, by late in the weekend and into early next week, a
shortwave trough looks to traverse the Midwest and into the Ohio
Valley. At the surface, a low pressure system is shown to move
over the Great Lakes and New England Sunday into Monday, with
another low pressure system developing over the lower Plains
moving into the ArkLaTex region to start the new work week. What
this means for local sensible weather is no rain through Saturday,
but a gradual warming of temperatures. Highs in the lower to mid
70s with lows in the 50s are forecast by Saturday/Saturday night,
a large change from earlier this week! However, by Sunday and
Monday is when chances of showers may return. We`ll be tracking
the trajectory and trends with regards to the aforementioned low
pressure system over the ArkLaTex early next week, as this will
have a significant impact on our rain chances. Stay tuned for
updates!

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals through the period
under a mostly clear sky. Winds will become gusty out of the SW
this afternoon between 15-20 kts.
&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 919 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Record cold temperatures are possible on the Veterans Day.

November 11:

Huntsville - Low minimum 22 (1926)
Muscle Shoals - Low minimum 19 (1913)

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP
SHORT TERM....JMS
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...AMP.24