725
FXUS64 KHUN 030006
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
606 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 147 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

 - Frost Advisory issued for NW AL Monday morning

 - Dry conditions return tonight for all of the TN Valley

 - Low rain chances (30% or less) return next weekend

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 147 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

As an upper level trough and subsequent sfc low push southeast
through the TN Valley, showers continue to impact portions of the
area. While there is a low chance of any lightning formation
(primarily in NE AL), there has been very small hail reported in a
few showers due to cold air aloft. Showers will continue through
the early evening hours before pushing eastward out of the area.
Tonight, frost and patchy fog will be a concern primarily in NW AL
where skies clear with the arrival of sfc high pressure and
temperatures drop into the mid 30s. Elsewhere, lingering cloud
cover should mitigate widespread frost and fog formation. A Frost
Advisory has been issued for Lauderdale, Colbert, and Franklin
(AL) counties Monday morning. Be sure to cover any sensitive
vegetation and wear multiple layers if heading outdoors.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 919 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Aforementioned sfc high pressure with weak upper level ridging is
forecast to remain over the TN Valley through the short term
period, allowing for continued dry conditions and a general
warming trend. High temperatures are forecast to reach the lower
60s Monday before increasing to the lower 70s by Wednesday.
Overnight lows are forecast to remain in the mid 30s to 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

The established zonal flow by Tuesday should continue to keep
warmer temperatures in the forecast through the end of the week
with plenty of sunny skies. Highs should climb into the upper 60s
to lower 70s the remainder of the week with high pressure over
the area. Lows should climb back into the 40s or lower 50s.

This area of high pressure weakens some towards the weekend, as a
troughs axis and frontal boundary moves east towards the area.
Cloud cover should increase during the day on Friday ahead of it.
However, not expecting any appreciable rainfall through then.
Highs by Friday could climb back into the lower to mid 70s by
then. For now kept on the low end of that sticking with guidance
given variability in the 925 mb temperatures shown by models.

As stronger lift and more moisture advects into the area Friday
night closer to the approaching cold front, rain chances increase
to between 20 and 30 percent. This may be a bit underdone, but
deeper moisture and the best lift with this trough axis still
remain primarily over the Ohio Valley into the northern Tennessee
Valley area. Shear is fairly strong though, so will have to watch
this system in case forcing and instability increase further south
with time.

This quick moving cold front pushes east and primarily off the
east coast Saturday morning. Drier and colder air is again
forecast to move into the area behind it Saturday night into
Sunday. This should drop highs back into the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Both terminals are experiencing clear or partly cloudy skies at
this time. Winds have already decoupled at KMSL, but still are
around 4 knots at KHSV. Good radiational cooling is expected much
of tonight, though some brief clouds around 5000 feet may briefly
affect either terminal. Expect fog reductions to visibilities
overnight. For now, kept VFR VSBYS through 08Z at both terminals.
However, this may need to be amended for a quicker lowering of
VSBYS due to fog development after midnight. Since KMSL is already
decoupled brought VSBYS down to 1 SM by 08Z and included a tempo
for 1/2SM VSBYS between 08Z and 12Z. Not going quite as low with
VSBYS at KHSV, but this may change. For now, lowered VSBYS to 2SM
at 08Z at KHSV with a tempo from 08Z to 12Z dropping to around
1SM. BY 15Z, expect VFR conditions to return.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for ALZ001>003.

TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....HC
LONG TERM....KTW
AVIATION...KTW