Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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562 FXUS64 KHUN 050448 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1048 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1047 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 - Periods of mainly light rain or drizzle will linger shortly after daybreak. Then remaining cold and cloudy with highs only in the 40 to 45 degree range. - Fog development is expected tonight into Friday morning and again Saturday. This fog could become dense and could freeze in some areas of NW Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. - Low chances of precipitation may return to the forecast on Sunday into early next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight and Friday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 The strongest forcing has pushed east into Georgia over the last few hours. Light to moderate rainfall still lingers behind this shield of precipitation. Thus, expect a mixture of light rain and drizzle to linger in far NE ALabama until around daybreak before ending. Not expecting alot more rainfall, but another 1/10 of an inch or so could occur before ending. Some patchy fog could occur right around daybreak. However, mainly expect a cloudy and cold day. Highs with cloud cover and initial weak cold air advection this morning should only reach the 40 to 45 degree range (coolest temperatures near the AL/TN border and in portions of southern middle Tennessee). && .SHORT TERM... (Friday night through Sunday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Tonight will likely be a better setup for more at least patchy fog development across northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. As winds decouple with a surface high building over the area, winds will be very light. Luckily, most guidance still holds mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions in place though. This should mitigate the fog threat some. Wouldn`t be surprised to see some patchy dense fog, but widespread fog (especially dense) may be hard to get with such predominant cloud cover. For now included patchy/areas of fog, but no dense fog. This may need to be changed if forecast conditions warrant. Most areas should not see temperatures dropping to 32 degrees or below. However, a few locations in NW Alabama and southern middle Tennessee may around daybreak on Saturday, so a bit of freezing fog could be possible. Lows in the lower to mid 30s are expected. Zonal flow and neutral to weak warm air advection mainly sets up Saturday through Sunday. We may finally see some sunshine again during the afternoon hours on Saturday. This insolation and weak warm air advection should allow high temperatures to climb back into the 45 to 50 degree range mainly. By Saturday night, another longwave trough axis begins to swing southeast from the western Great Lakes area towards the Ohio Valley. This will likely bring some cloud cover back into the area in the evening hours and mostly cloudy conditions back into the area by daybreak on Sunday. Stronger forcing and better moisture advection pools over the area on Sunday. Lows don`t look to change much and should stay in the lower to mid 30s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 As this longwave trough axis pushes east and an attendant cold front pushes into the area, some light showers will likely return to the forecast. Expect the better chances of rain will be mainly Sunday night into early Monday morning as longwave trough axis moves through northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. This should usher in some cooler air again early next week after its associated cold front moves east of the area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 610 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 MVFR VSBYS and RA are expected to continue at both terminals through 1Z or 2Z. This will change little, but expect CIGS to lower below 1000 feet around 7Z at KMSL and 9Z at KHSV and RA to likely stop at both terminals. Expect low clouds to stick around with MVFR VSBYS. May have to lower VSBYS or CIGS a bit more with next issuance around daybreak. After 15Z, expect CIGS to climb back above 1000 feet and fairly light winds to continue. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...KTW SHORT TERM....KTW LONG TERM....KTW AVIATION...KTW