Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
863
FNUS52 KILM 181846
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Issued by National Weather Service Raleigh NC
242 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Seasonably warm conditions will continue for much of this week as
high pressure sits well offshore. A warming trend begins late in
the week with afternoon showers and thunderstorms for the weekend.
Onshore flow will bring more humid conditions toward the end of
the week with a better chance of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-191145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
246 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 87 65 87
Max/Min RH (%) 90 52 96 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 G17 E 5 G17 E 6 G17 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 9 G18 Lgt/Var E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 72/0700
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 84000
ADI Early 83 Good 96 Good 83 Good 83 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 95 Good 6 Very Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-191145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
246 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 90 64 91
Max/Min RH (%) 94 44 100 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 75/0900 2100 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6200
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 97500 86800
ADI Early 90 Good 89 Good 94 Good 83 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 107 Very Good5 Very Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-191145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
246 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 87 65 88
Max/Min RH (%) 90 51 97 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 7 G19 NE 6 G19 E 7 G20 NE 6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 9 G20 E 4 E 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 74/0800 2100 72/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106200 92800
ADI Early 95 Good 90 Good 82 Good 90 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 110 Very Good6 Very Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
246 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 90 64 90
Max/Min RH (%) 94 44 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 G17 NE 5 E 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 75/0900 2100 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6400
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105600 89600
ADI Early 98 Good 85 Good 99 Good 89 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 111 Very Good5 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21