998
FXUS62 KJAX 291726
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1226 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents at NE Florida Beaches Today

- Potential for Strong Thunderstorms Tuesday

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Mostly dry weather today with increased cloud cover and a potential
for very light drizzle this evening primarily along the coast as
high pressure moves off to the northeast and the prevailing flow
shifts to become more out of the gulf, bringing in more humid
conditions  through the weekend. Breezy onshore surface level winds
will peak this afternoon before becoming more mild and variable
during the evening and overnight hours. High temperatures today will
be in the 60s for southeast Georgia and in the upper 60s and lower
70s for northeast Florida. Overnight low temperatures will drop down
into the mid 40s over southeast Georgia and in the 50s over
northeast Florida. Patchy fog developments are anticipated overnight
and into the early morning hours on Sunday, primarily affecting
areas near and west of the I-95 corridor and extending along the St
Johns river basin through southeast Georgia and northeast Florida.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will move away to the northeast Sunday morning, with a
cold front moving southeast across SE GA Sunday afternoon. This
front will then move across NE FL Sunday night. The front will stall
to the south Monday, then lift north across region Monday night as a
warm front, as an area of low pressure lifts northeast out of the
Gulf.

Dry weather is expected as the frontal boundary moves through Sunday
into Sunday night, but chances will increase Monday into Monday
night, as it lifts back through as a warm front with increasing
moisture.

Temperatures will trend above normal this period.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The low will track northeast of the region Tuesday, with the
associated cold front moving southeast across area. Showers and
thunderstorms will accompany this frontal passage. A few strong
storms will be possible.

High pressure will build to the northwest Tuesday night, then to the
north Wednesday. The high will move away to the northeast Thursday,
as another low moves northeast out of the Gulf Thursday night into
Friday. The front associated with this low may stall over area
Friday night into Saturday, bringing a prolonged period of rainfall
beginning Friday.

Above normal temperatures can be expected Tuesday, with readings
then trending below through the rest of this period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions will be in place through the forecast period with
breezy northeasterly winds decreasing this evening and becoming more
mild and variable overnight.

&&

.MARINE...


High pressure will build north northeast of the waters today as a
coastal trough develops over the local waters. The coastal trough
will break down Sunday into Monday as a weakening front approaches
from the north then begins to stall just north of the local waters
into Monday night. This front will morph into a lifting warm front
ahead of a stronger frontal system as it approaches late Monday into
Tuesday. Southerly winds increase Tuesday near Small Craft levels
with a chance of thunderstorms. The front is expected to push south
of the local waters late Tuesday, then high pressure builds
northwest of the region mid-week as winds subside below Advisory
levels.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low Sunday
              NE FL Moderate Sunday

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


High pressure will move off to the northeast Today. A weak cold
front will move southeast across area Sunday into Sunday night. High
pressure will build to the north then northeast Monday. An area of
low pressure will move northeast out of the Gulf Monday night, with
its associated cold front moving through Tuesday. High pressure will
build to the northwest then north Tuesday night into Wednesday.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...Patchy fog possible Tonight, and
again Sunday night. A round of showers and thunderstorms is expected
Monday night and Tuesday, with a few strong storms possible.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
AMG  43  71  47  66 /   0   0  10  20
SSI  54  71  55  68 /  10   0   0  10
JAX  51  76  54  71 /  10   0  10  10
SGJ  59  76  60  75 /   0   0  10  10
GNV  52  79  55  77 /   0   0  10  10
OCF  54  79  57  78 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-
     233-333.
GA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$