956
FXUS63 KJKL 291239
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
739 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A round of light precipitation, mainly rain, is expected
  tonight into Sunday.

- A more significant precip event may come Monday night and
  Tuesday, with a little bit better potential for wintery
  precipitation, especially north of the Mountain Parkway.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 739 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

Early morning obs are blended into the forecast without any
substantive changes.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 718 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

A return of warm air advection and at least some limited sun will
give modestly warmer temps for today. The approach of our next
weather system will give us an increase in clouds, especially late
in the day. The next system is low pressure currently centered
near the OK/KS state line. It will move east northeast along with
its upper level support, passing over the Great Lakes on Sunday.
Warm air advection ahead of the system`s cold front may bring
precipitation to our area tonight into Sunday. Some of this could
come as snow north of I-64 before the column warms up enough for
all rain. However, precip amounts should remain light and
temperatures above freezing, so no problems are expected.

The system`s cold front passes through on Sunday and high
pressure then begins to build in from the northwest with another
cold air mass, shutting down our short-lived warm-up and bringing
a return of dry conditions. However, the dry weather also looks
to be brief.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 718 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

Another upper level wave dropping southeast over the western
CONUS during the weekend will then head east. It will prompt
surface low development which is expected to track across the Deep
South Monday night and then turn up the East Coast on Tuesday.
The relatively large system will throw moisture northward over our
cooler air, likely bringing another round of precip. With a
southerly track, we will remain in colder air and will have a
stronger threat of wintery precip, especially in our northern
counties. At this point it looks like a nuisance type system, but
changes to the outlook may occur. Once it passes, dry weather
and another round of cold air arrive.

Yet another system may affect the area by Friday. This one looks
like it travels across the Deep South again, but is less
organized. Even so, models show overrunning precip as far north as
KY, but with an atmosphere probably warm enough for rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
ISSUED AT 718 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period. However, clouds
will be increasing and lowering with time. Light rain will be a
possibility during the night, but it is not likely to result in
significantly degraded conditions. Low level wind shear is a
possibility during the night.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...HAL
SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...HAL
AVIATION...HAL