168
FXUS63 KJKL 030745
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
245 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drier and cold weather will persist through Thursday.

- Light snow is possible Thursday night into Friday morning before
  any precipitation changes to rain.

- The pattern will turn active again towards the weekend with
  additional chances of precipitation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 245 AM EST WED DEC 3 2025

Shallow low level moisture lingers in the wake of Monday night`s
weather system, with cold air advection in upslope flow helping to
keep it trapped beneath an inversion up to this point. This has
kept low clouds socked in. The clouds extend all the way west to
IL, MO, and AR early this morning, near the surface ridge. The
high will shift east today and cold air advection will ease. Along
with minimal heating (albeit just about the weakest solar
insolation of the year), this should finally allow clouds to break
up. However, timing is still very uncertain. Have used a gradual
decrease in clouds due to the uncertainty in timing, when in
reality it may be much more abrupt whenever it happens in any
given location.

Assuming clearing happens by tonight, the night should start out
relatively clear, along with light winds as the high center passes
over. This should allow a quick drop in temperatures after sunset.
A large lobe rotating through a mean upper trough over eastern
Canada will support another cold front to drop south and approach
us from the north overnight, reaching near the Ohio River by dawn.
Clouds will increase overnight as the front nears, slowing our
drop in temperatures.

Some light precip could occur to our north with the front.
However, the front will be running out of available moisture as it
drops south, and we shouldn`t see anything more than clouds with
its passage on Thursday. The clouds and cold fropa will hold max
temps down.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 245 AM EST WED DEC 3 2025

An updated long term discussion will be sent shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2025

MVFR/IFR cigs will persist with low stratus continuing through
12z, but cigs will begin to improve after 12z through the daytime
hours as southwest winds begin to increase just above the surface.
If and/or when any clearing does take place overnight, fog with
some IFR or lower reductions may develop, but this is lower
confidence. Light and variable winds are expected through the
period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...MARCUS
AVIATION...CMC