Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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986
FXUS62 KKEY 151525
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1025 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Light to gentle breezes will continue through the weekend.

-Dry air will limit shower development through early next week.

-High temperatures will warm to near 80F for much of the work
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
The 12z morning sounding at KEY sampled a very stable tropospheric
profile, with virtual no convective potential instability and
ample inhibition. Advective precipitable water products highlight
a very dry moisture field upstream, as continental high pressure
centered over the state of Georgia continues to dominate the
sensible weather for the Florida Keys. This will limit any cloud
cover, let alone showers for the day. The inherited forecast was
for mostly sunny skies, nil rain chances, near seasonably warm
temperatures. No changes needed.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1018 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Issued at 442 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
There are currently no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect
across the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high
pressure centered over the Southeast U.S. will continue to move
southward over the weekend. This will promote light to gentle
breezes. Due to the weak flow, there may be a period of light and
variable breezes Sunday through Monday, mainly in the afternoons.
Another high pressure system will traverse across the eastern
United States early next week while slowly strengthening. This
will allow for freshening northeast to east breezes through mid
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF
period. Dry air will limit any shower development for today. North
to northeast light to gentle breezes will become northeast to
east later this afternoon and evening.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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