Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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101
FXUS62 KKEY 161835
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
135 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Light to gentle breezes will continue through into early week,
 variable at times.

-Dry air will limit shower development through early this week.

-High temperatures will warm to near 80F for much of the work
 week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 128 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through
the TAF period. Dry air will limit any shower development and
cloud coverage will be minimal. Light breezes will generally be
northerly, occasionally variable, especially during the afternoon
hours through Monday.

&&

.FORECAST...
Issued at 425 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Quiet and nice weather continues for the Keys through much of this
week. A weak and flat ridge will dominate much of Florida today
through Monday. This will keep dry air entrenched throughout the
area and much of the state leading to nil rain chances for the
foreseeable future. The exception might be over the Straits where
slightly deeper moisture could lend to a shower or two. Light to
gentle breezes are expected to continue through Monday. Daytime
highs are expected to be in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees with
overnight lows 65 to 70 degrees. With the light winds and
generally clear sky, there is the likelihood for radiational
cooling across the Island Chain tonight and Monday night before
winds begin to increase.

Another high pressure moving across the Southeast U.S. early this
week will lead to a strengthening of the pressure gradient across
the Keys. This will promote freshening northeast to east breezes
for mid to late week. This may also lead to a period of breezy
conditions once again for the Island Chain. Moisture remains
meager keeping rain chances near nil through the extended. As
winds also shift to the east, this will lead to slowly increasing
humidity and temperatures with daytime highs creeping back into
the lower 80s by late next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1044 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
There are currently no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect
across the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, weak high
pressure will continue to promote light to gentle breezes today
through Monday. Due to the weak flow, there may be periods of
light and variable breezes, mainly in the afternoons. Another high
pressure system will traverse across the eastern United States
early this week while slowly strengthening. This will allow for
freshening northeast to east breezes for the middle and latter
part of the week.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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