Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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250
FXUS62 KKEY 201428
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
928 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Deep layered ridging will predominate through the weekend and
 into next week.

-Surface ridging to our north will maintain gentle to moderate
 northeast to easterly breezes.

-Temperatures will range near to slightly above normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 930 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Ridging continues to dominate the synoptic pattern for the
Florida Keys. A series of inversions sprinkle the 12z morning
sounding at KEY. CIMSS tropospheric-integrated precipitable water
product highlights tremendous dry, modified continental air
upstream filtering in steering northeasterlies. A persistence
forecast is in play, with no changes needed to the inherited
overnight full forecast package.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 930 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for the Florida
Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, a surface high will
consolidate along the Atlantic coast over the next couple of days.
This, along with diurnal influences, should result in slightly
freshening northeast to easterly breezes this evening. Winds will
slacken some through the remainder of the week as this high tilts
eastward and lengthens out into the Atlantic. A new continental
high will build as it drive eastward through the eastern United
States early next week. This is expected to freshen easterly
breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 930 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals through the
TAF period. Northeast to east near-surface winds will remain in
the 5 to 10 knot range, with nil measurable rain chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82  73  81  73 /   0   0   0   0
Marathon  81  73  81  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....BT

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