738
FXUS62 KKEY 190354
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1054 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Northeasterly breezes freshening from gentle to moderate heading
 into Wednesday, which will allow temperatures to return to normal
 values.

-Thick cloud cover from a weak low pressure system south of Cuba
 will linger through the overnight and dissipate on Wednesday.

-Deep layers of dry air continue to inhibit shower development
 through the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1054 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
KBYX has remained steady active for the offshore waters of the
Florida Keys this evening. Scattered showers continue to move west
to northwest at near 10 knots through the distant Straits
producing moderate to heavy downpours. While no lightning in our
CWA has been observed, a few lightning strikes have occurred just
south of our warning area. Winds along the Reef have freshened to
near 15 knots and the Straits are now under the Small Craft
Should exercise caution headline. Overnight, elevated winds will
continue due a high moving into the western Atlantic and building
in strength, and scattered showers will remain in the offshore
waters with only a slight chance of showers expected for the
island chain.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1054 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Small Craft should exercise caution in the Straits of Florida.
Elsewhere, no watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in
effect for the Florida Keys. From synopsis, high pressure located
over the eastern CONUS will slowly move into the western Atlantic
tonight. The high will then slowly build and support freshening
northeast to east breezes during the work week. Although the high
will wax and wane at times, expect generally gentle to moderate
breezes with occasional moderate to fresh breezes south of the
island chain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1054 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH. Thick overcast
skies at around 5-6 kft will continue overnight through tomorrow
morning before breaking apart. Shower activity will stay south of
the island chain therefore no mention of VCSH at this time. Near
surface winds will be northeasterly at near 10 knots.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP
Data Acquisition.....MC

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