Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FNUS52 KKEY 160805
FWFKEY

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the Florida Keys
National Weather Service Key West FL
405 AM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025

.Discussion...
A lingering surface boundary is situated to the south of the
island chain, and will pull back toward southern Florida over the
next day or two. Rainfall chances will jump drastically from
around 30 percent today to 60 percent tonight. As showers
initially pop up, thunderstorms are not expected due to some
lingering drier air aloft. However, deepening moisture tonight
will lead to some increase in thunderstorm chances. Overall fire
weather concerns are at a minimum.

FLZ076>078-170100-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Including the cities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
405 AM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance Precip (%)     30           60           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           50           50
Weather Type          Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Max/Min Temp          90           78           88
Min/Max RH %          68           89           72
Wind 20ft AM (mph)    E  6                      E  9
Wind 20ft PM (mph)    E  6         E  7         NE  8
Precip Duration       2            8            9
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Amount         0.36         0.18         0.30
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3200         1400         2900
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 12         E 16         NE 16
Dispersion Index      37           20           43
Max LVORI             4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$