Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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869
FXUS64 KLCH 131734
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1134 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy dense fog possible late tonight into early Friday morning

- Persistent weather pattern will continue through the weekend with
above normal temperatures and humidity

- Low precipitation chances return early next week ahead of the
  next cold front that will move through the area late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Persistent upper level ridging extending across much of
the western gulf will maintain dry conditions through the weekend.
At the surface, high pressure over the northeastern gulf will
maintain light southerly to southeasterly flow over the next several
days which will keep both temperatures and humidity well above
climatological normals. This low level moisture, combined with clear
skies and light winds will once again prove favorable for some
patchy dense fog development late tonight into early Friday morning
with nightly patchy fog likely continuing through the weekend.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Upper ridging will push off to the east early next week
allowing mid level moisture to increase. The better moisture
combined with above normal temperatures is expected to produce at
least isolated, mainly diurnally driven, showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, but precipitation totals aren`t
expected to amount to much. The previous synoptic support for these
storms is less evident in most guidance today. Better precipitation
chances are expected just beyond the official forecast period as
guidance is in good agreement on another frontal passage Thursday on
Friday.

Jones

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon with scattered fair
weather cu persisting across the region before largely clearing
around sunset this evening. Clear skies and light winds along with
a humid near surface environment will support patchy dense fog
development late tonight into early Friday morning. Any fog that
develops will dissipate by 14Z with SCT fair weather cu developing
again by late Friday morning.

Jones

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1131 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

High pressure centered over the northeastern gulf will
maintain light onshore winds and low seas through Sunday. Onshore
flow will increase somewhat early next week in response to areas of
low pressure moving across the southern plains. A few showers and
thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1131 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Warm, humid conditions are expected through the
weekend with no rain chances. Areas of patchy fog will be possible
each night followed by fair weather clouds and light southerly
winds. Low end precipitation chances return by Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  53  79  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  59  78  60  79 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  56  78  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  60  79  60  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...66