Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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797
FXUS64 KLCH 111130
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
530 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very cold weather possible Sunday night and Monday morning with
  wind chill in the 20s.

- A dry cold front pushing offshore will allow chilly lows
  overnight into Thursday morning then quickly moderate again by
  the end of the week with no significant chance for rainfall.

- Another cold front is scheduled for Sunday that may bring a
  slight chance for showers.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A dry cold front has moved across the region with cold air
advection following behind the front. Temperatures tonight will
plummet with lows in the 30s inland and in the 40s along the
coast. High pressure and dry air behind the front will keep our
skies clear for the remainder of the week. By the end of the week
the surface high pressure will shift to the east and will be
centered near Florida. Winds from the high will push warm moist
air north, quickly replacing our cold air mass. Dew points will
rise into the 60s with highs in the 70s for Friday and Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

The main message for the rest of the forecast will be a major
cold snap on Sunday night going into Monday morning, with freezing
temperatures expected to get down to the I-10 corridor. A robust
cold front will move through the region and while we may see
isolated showers, the main impact will be very cold temperatures.
Cold headlines should be expected for Sunday night and Monday, as
the wind chill is expected to be in the teens north of I-10 and in
the mid-20s down to the coast. Similar to the short-term
forecast, high pressure to our east will quickly warm us back up,
and by Wednesday lows will be back into the 50s along the coast
and in the 40s farther inland. Overall, we are looking at a
rollercoaster of a temperature forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Clear skies will prevail through the day with high pressure
overhead. This high will shift east of the region by this
afternoon turning light winds out of the south. This southerly
flow will increase low level moisture across the region resulting
in some possible fog development late tonight into early Friday
morning. MVFR ceilings are also expected to develop near the end
of the period Friday morning.

Jones

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

There is an exercise caution statement out for the outer coastal
waters tonight as a cold front moves offshore. Tonight and
Thursday, winds will be offshore between 10 and 20 knots. On
Friday, winds will be weaker as high pressure builds to our east
and winds will be onshore.&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A dry cold front has moved through the area and Thursday will have
gusty north winds with minimum RH values around 40%. High pressure
will build to our east and will pull more moist air north from the
Gulf. Rain chances will be near zero through Sunday.&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  34  61  42  72 /   0   0   0  10
LCH  40  63  49  74 /   0   0   0  20
LFT  40  63  47  75 /   0   0   0  20
BPT  41  64  51  75 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A dry cold front has moved through the area and Thursday will have
gusty north winds with minimum RH values around 40%. High pressure
will build to our east and will pull more moist air north from the
Gulf. Rain chances will be near zero through Sunday.&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  34  61  42  72 /   0   0   0  10
LCH  40  63  49  74 /   0   0   0  20
LFT  40  63  47  75 /   0   0   0  20
BPT  41  64  51  75 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  61  42  72  48 /   0   0  10  10
LCH  63  49  74  56 /   0   0  20  10
LFT  63  47  75  55 /   0   0  20  10
BPT  64  51  75  56 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...66