Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
343 FXUS64 KLCH 071758 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1158 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - With stable conditions and an increase in low level moisture fog will likely become an issue again tonight. - A sharp Canadian cold front will push through Sunday bringing unseasonably cold temperatures early next week. Portions of the region may receive their first freeze. - Well above average temperatures to quickly return to the forecast starting the middle of the next work week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday night) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 Current conditions are warm with temps in the mid to upper 70s under partly cloudy skies. A surface low is approaching out of TX, tightening the pressure gradient as it nears. As a result, southwesterly winds are and have been a bit gusty this morning. For this afternoon and tomorrow, we can expect well above average temperatures with highs in the mid 80s and lows in the 50s to 60s. Tonight we could see another round of dense fog as the winds calm and skies start to clear out a little, however model guidance is not showing a strong enough signal for widespread dense fog. Issuance is likely, however how far west the advisory will go will be determined in the subsequent forecast. Regardless of advisory issuance, it is advised to commute carefully early Saturday morning. Our first taste of winter will be coming this weekend with a cold front expected to sweep through late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This is not expected to help with our dry spell, with precip chances remaining at or below 20 percent. Sunday night into Monday morning, temperatures will sharply drop into the mid 30s to upper 40 with apparent temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s thanks to elevated northerly winds. It appears unlikely that a Freeze Watch/Warning will be needed at this time for that time period, however it bears watching over the coming days. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 By the start of the work week, the cold front will be over the gulf waters with an area of high pressure over the Central to Southern Plains. Winds will still be a bit elevated but Wind Advisory criteria is not expected to be met/exceeded. We will see, however, cooler and drier air continue to filter in. Highs on Monday will struggle to get higher than the upper 50s across the entire CWA, with lows radiationally cooling into the low to mid 30s that night under clear skies and nearly calm winds. Monday night into Tuesday morning the high will be directly overhead, leading to those calm winds. It is worth noting that there is a high likelihood of Freeze Watch/Warning issuance for parts of interior SETX and CenLA, with a 40 to 70 percent probability of experiencing subfreezing temperatures. Over the day Tuesday, the high will be centering itself over the central to eastern Gulf Coast, with southerly to southeasterly flow returning. We will see temperatures increase over the mid to end of the week period, getting to just under 10 degrees above climatological norms. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 MVFR to VFR CIGs still ongoing this morning with little improvement expected over the afternoon hours. Thanks to a tightened pressure gradient, winds are a bit gusty. They will slowly taper over the evening hours. Tonight into Saturday morning, another round of patchy dense fog will be possible. Whatever fog forms will dissipate gradually after sunrise. && .MARINE... Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 Calm conditions will continue until Saturday night when a cold front will move across the waters. Winds will quickly rise with gusts up to 30 knots and sustained winds around 25 knots. Waves will rise in response to the winds with heights of 6 to 10 feet. A Small Craft Advisory will be needed Sunday through Monday, and a Gale Warning isnt out of the question. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1149 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 Dry weather continues with little chance of rain over the next seven days. A dry cold front will move through Saturday night, bringing elevated fire weather conditions from Sunday - Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 60 84 54 67 / 0 0 10 0 LCH 65 83 60 70 / 0 0 10 0 LFT 64 83 60 70 / 0 10 20 10 BPT 65 84 59 71 / 0 0 10 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...87