Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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288
FXUS64 KLCH 230602
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1202 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slightly cooler and drier conditions will continue Sunday with a
quick warm up Monday.

- A stronger cold front is expected on Tuesday with high rain
chances late Monday into Tuesday.

- Cooler and more seasonable temperatures is expected for
Thanksgiving.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

The weak frontal boundary has cleared the area early
this morning with dewpoints in the 50s everywhere but the immediate
coastline. High pressure building into the region is producing clear
skies and calm winds across much of the region which will be
supportive of a few areas of patchy fog in areas that saw earlier
rain. Any fog that manages to develop will dissipate by 8 AM. The
remainder of the day will be very pleasant with lower humidity and
afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s.

High pressure will slide quickly across the region Sunday turning
winds back southeasterly by Sunday night into Monday. This will
result in a noticeable increase in humidity Monday ahead of a
stronger cold front that will approach the area late Monday into
early Tuesday.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop along
and ahead of a passing cold front Monday night into Tuesday morning.
The significant moisture pooling ahead of the boundary will support
some heavy rain producing storms that could lead to some nuisance
street flooding in a few locations. While the most supportive severe
weather parameters will remain across northeast Texas, a couple of
borderline severe storms will be possible prior to the fropa.

Cooler temperatures on Wednesday will be reinforced by a secondary,
dry frontal boundary Wednesday evening. This will push overnight
lows down into the upper 30s to mid 40s Thanksgiving morning with
afternoon highs in the low to mid 60s beneath abundant sunshine. The
airmass will begin to moderate Friday afternoon as high pressure
slides east of the region and winds turn back out of the southeast.

Jones

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

A few areas of patchy fog will be possible early this morning. Any
fog that develops will dissipate by 14Z with VFR conditions to
prevail thereafter. Light northerly winds will prevail through the
taf period.

Jones

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

A brief period of modest offshore winds can be expected
tonight into Sunday behind a weak cold front. Modest onshore winds
will develop Monday ahead of a stronger cold front on Tuesday. This
front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms. Strong north
winds are expected behind this front Wednesday and Thursday with
winds turning back onshore Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

Slightly drier and cooler conditions tonight into
Sunday behind a weak cold front. Gulf moisture will return on Monday
with high rain chances late Monday into Tuesday ahead of a stronger
cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  72  51  79  62 /   0   0  40  80
LCH  76  58  80  67 /   0   0  40  70
LFT  76  57  80  67 /   0   0  30  60
BPT  76  61  81  66 /   0  10  50  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...66