672
FXUS64 KLIX 262314
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
514 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 512 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

- A substantial cool down Thursday and Friday nights with
  temperatures in the 30s and 40s. A few places could briefly
  touch freezing across SW MS, and within the Pearl and Pascagoula
  River drainage areas.

- Hazardous conditions for small craft through Thursday, possibly
  through the entire weekend.

- Rain threat increases for the weekend and early next week. The
  rain could be locally heavy at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Tonight through Saturday will be quiet overall and cold on the
backside of this frontal system thanks to enhanced cold air
advection into the area from northerly surface winds. High
temperatures will be in the 60s with lows in the 40s, Thursday
morning. Conditions will be fairly dry overall, so generally a
pleasant few days ahead if a bit cold. Lows on Friday will be
particularly cold with lows in the mid to low 30s across the area
north of I-12. We lowered these temperatures 3-4 degrees from NBM
to encompass enhanced cooling overnight from cold air advection
with clear skies over the drainage basins and the typical
overachieving cold air advection on the second day after a front,
which commonly occurs in our area. Lows on Saturday will be in the
40s, as we start to warm up a bit again. Highs Friday and
Saturday will be in the 60s to low 70s as we reintroduce moisutre
back into the area, especially Saturday. MSW

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Sunday into the beginning of next week, a frontal system will move
through the area. It looks fairly robust and progressive. General
timing will be mostly during the daytime hours on Sunday. Some
severe weather could be possible with this system, but a lot could
change given it is so far out in time. We will keep monitoring
for changes. MSW

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 512 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Gusty north winds of over 12 knots at MSY, HUM, GPT, and NEW will
be the primary concern for aviators tonight into tomorrow
morning. These winds will begin to relax tomorrow afternoon as a
high pressure system becomes more centered over the region.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will be in place at all of the terminals
as a very dry and very stable airmass remains in firm control of
the area.  PG

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 152 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

A cold and dry high pressure system will build over the waters
through Friday. As this colder and drier air moves across the warmer
waters, stronger winds aloft will transport down to the surface. As
a result, an extended period of small craft advisory conditons due
to northerly winds of 20 knots or greater and rough seas of over
7 feet will impact the waters through Friday. Winds will relax
slightly to between 15 and 20 knots and begin to turn more
southeasterly and southerly over the weekend as another low pressure
system pushes through the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  36  58  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  39  62  35  61 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  37  62  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  46  63  44  61 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  41  62  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  37  62  31  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Friday for GMZ530-532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Friday for GMZ532-534-536-
     538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...PG
MARINE...MSW