411
FXUS65 KLKN 110847
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
147 AM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 143 AM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

* Strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada this afternoon into
  this evening

* Precipitation chances increase tonight into Saturday night as a
  trough of low pressure passes across Northern Nevada

* Much cooler this weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Saturday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will pass
eastward across Northern Nevada this morning into Saturday night,
resulting in elevated precipitation chances. Precipitation
chances will be highest over Eastern Nevada. The majority of
precipitation will fall Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening.
Snow levels will start at around 10,000 feet tonight, before
dropping to about 6,000 feet Saturday night. Here are
probabilities of one tenth of an inch of rain or more for select
locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 11 PM PDT Friday,
October 10th, 2025 until 11 PM PDT Saturday, October 11th, 2025:

Lages Junction - 68%
Ruby Valley - 65%
Ely - 64%
Eureka - 60%
Wells - 60%
Jackpot - 58%
Lamoille - 56%
West Wendover - 55%
Lund - 51%
Spring Creek - 47%

A cooling trend is expected this weekend. High temperatures
Saturday afternoon will be around fifteen degrees cooler than this
afternoon. Maximum temperatures Sunday afternoon will be about ten
degrees below normal for this time of year. Sub-freezing
temperatures are anticipated in the valleys of Northern and
Central Nevada both Saturday night and Sunday night. A cyclone
aloft will move southward, just off the west coast of the United
States Monday and Monday night. This upper-level area of low
pressure will turn eastward and make landfall over Central
California Tuesday. The cyclone aloft will progress northeastward
across the Silver State Tuesday night and Wednesday. This
atmospheric disturbance will be responsible for another round of
valley rain and mountain snow Tuesday through Wednesday.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding elevated precipitation chances tonight into Saturday
night. High forecast confidence in much cooler weather this
weekend. No deviations from the NBM model output.


&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the
next 24 hours. South wind gusts near 30 knots are likely at KELY
through Saturday morning.


&&


.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
anticipated in Eastern Nevada this morning into Saturday night as
an atmospheric disturbance passes eastward across Northern
Nevada.


&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...87
FIRE WEATHER...87