598
FXUS65 KLKN 142038
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
138 PM PDT Sun Sep 14 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 135 PM PDT Sun Sep 14 2025

* A weak upper ridge will move east today and an upper trough will
  quickly shift east this evening through tomorrow.

* Little to no precipitation is expected with the above weather
  system.

* A quiet weather pattern sets up over the Silver State beyond the
  weekend.

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 135 PM PDT Sun Sep 14 2025

Forecast is on track with only minor updates to timing.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies are mostly clear this morning with
some high clouds moving across northern Nevada. Models are showing
a shortwave ridge moving over the area today, but it will be
quickly replaced by an upper trough moving north of Nevada. The
northernmost sections of Nevada, mainly north of I-80. Moisture
and instability will be limited, allowing for isolated storms to
develop. Some may be dry. Winds will be breezy with some gusts to
30 to 35 mph. Highs today will be in the 70s and 80s. Isolated
showers will continue in northeast Elko county this evening, while
the rest of the forecast area will be dry. Overnight lows will be
in the 30s and 40s.

The upper trough will quickly exit, allowing for a ridge to build
across the area Monday. The ridge will bring fairly quiet weather
to the area through the upcoming week. No appreciable weather is
expected through roughly Thursday. Highs will be in the 70s
Monday, rising into the 70s and 80s on Tuesday and in the 80s by
mid-week. Winds are expected to remain light through this upcoming
week. Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s.

A Pacific storm system is expected to move in during the latter
portions of the week. This will bring increasing clouds and
chances for light precipitation. Highs will cool into the 70s
with lows in the 30s and 40s.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No changes were made to the NBM
forecast through the period. Confidence remains high most
locations will remain dry with warming conditions beginning early
in the week.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours.
Winds will be breezy with gusts to 25 knots through today.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...A weak upper level low pressure system
will move across southern Idaho with light showers (ten to twenty
percent) over locations north of I-80 today and Monday. By
Tuesday, another ridge will move into the area, bringing dry
conditions through the week with warming temperatures. No fire
weather issues are anticipated.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...98
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...84