387
FXUS65 KLKN 221438
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
638 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 636 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

* Warming trend continues through Sunday

* Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday

* Early indications are showing a possible cold and wet storm
  system for the upcoming Thanksgiving weekend

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 636 AM PST Sat Nov 22 2025

Expanded coverage of freezing fog advisory to include northern
Lander/Eureka, and most of Elko counties as satellite imagery
depicts areas of freezing fog creeping further south. Weather
grids have also been updated as well.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Quiet and warming weather this weekend,
due to dominant zonal flow. A weak boundary passage late Sunday
night could spark a few isolated light snow showers in northern
Elko county Monday morning and the associated change to northwest
flow is expected to drop high temperatures back to the low to mid
40s by Tuesday. Weak ridging builds back for Wednesday and
Thursday, bringing temperatures in the 50s for the Thanksgiving
holiday, but long range models are already showing signs of an
atmospheric river event for the Thanksgiving weekend. Current
projections show a mixed valley rain/mountain snow event that will
need to be watched for travel impacts as it develops.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in snow showers
Monday due to how weak the forcing looks. Moderate confidence in a
warm Thanksgiving and a storm system after, but low confidence in
timing and impacts of said storm system.

&&


.AVIATION UPDATE...VFR conditions and light winds expected
through the next 24 hours. There is potential for VCFG during the
early morning hours at KEKO but occurrence on station is about
ten percent.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning
NVZ031-036-038-039.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86