Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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370
FXUS65 KLKN 220736
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1136 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1132 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

* Warming trend begins today through Sunday

* Low chance of isolated snow showers in Northern Nevada on Monday

* Early indications showing for a cold and wet storm system for
  the Thanksgiving weekend

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1132 PM PST Fri Nov 21 2025

Nevada Department of Transportation and ALERTWest webcams are
showing patchy, dense fog developing and spreading north in the
valley locations across northern Elko county. Most locations are
around one mile of visibility, though some of the most dense
freezing fog has the visibility dropping to one mile or less. Have
issued a freezing fog advisory for northern Elko county as a
result. Have also updated weather grids to include patchy fog
across the northern sections of Nevada through the evening. Will
be sending out text products soon.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Quiet and warming weather this weekend,
due to dominant zonal flow. A weak boundary passage late Sunday
night could spark a few isolated light snow showers in northern
Elko county Monday morning and the associated change to northwest
flow is expected to drop high temperatures back to the low to mid
40s by Tuesday. Weak ridging builds back for Wednesday and
Thursday, bringing temperatures in the 50s for the Thanksgiving
holiday, but long range models are already showing signs of an
atmospheric river event for the Thanksgiving weekend. Current
projections show a mixed valley rain/mountain snow event that will
need to be watched for travel impacts as it develops.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Low confidence in snow showers
Monday due to how weak the forcing looks. Moderate confidence in a
warm Thanksgiving and a storm system after, but low confidence in
timing and impacts of said storm system.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions and light winds expected through the
next 24 hours. Ceilings are expected to continue lifting as skies
clear through the day. Low potential for VCFG overnight at KBAM.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM PST Saturday NVZ031.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...94