695
FXUS65 KLKN 071017
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
217 AM PST Fri Nov 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 206 AM PST Fri Nov 7 2025

* Light shower activity across northern NV continues this morning

* Warming trend begins today, persisting thru early next week

* Potential for a wet weather system arriving late next week

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 206 AM PST Fri Nov 7 2025

The current forecast remains on track. No significant changes are
required.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Zonal flow in the large axis of a
longwave upper level trof over the Great Basin carries enough
energy and moisture (PWAT near half an inch) for continued light
showers this morning. Forcing is limited, so activity will be
isolated and accumulations are forecast to be light and less than
a tenth of an inch. Showers will be mostly exited from the
forecast area by this afternoon.

Upper level ridge and high pressure will build over the
southwestern CONUS beginning Friday PM and remain in place over
the region through the weekend and into next week. As a result,
lighter winds and a gradual warming trend are expected. Afternoon
highs will climb a few degrees each day reaching the mid to upper
60s by Monday and Tuesday of next week.

This pattern looks to continue through mid week with stronger
southerly winds possible next Thursday ahead of a large trof that
model guidance pushes into the west coast next Thursday evening.
Confidence is low in exact timing of impact on the Silver State,
especially still a week out.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confident is high in light
shower activity across northern Nevada thru this morning.
Confidence is good in a warming trend under building high pressure
into early next week. Moderate confidence in our next weather
maker arriving late next week though disagreement in model
guidance still exists on timing.


&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals thru
Friday night. Forecast light showers and lowered CIGs across
northern NV this morning will not interfere with flight rule
conditions. Otherwise winds will be generally light this afternoon
aside for KTPH and KELY where gusts 18KT to 22KT are expected.
Breezes will ease thru the evening

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92