Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
374 FXUS65 KLKN 061943 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1143 AM PST Sat Dec 6 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1140 AM PST Sat Dec 6 2025 * Breezy NW winds across Nevada this afternoon into Sunday morning * Quiet conditions with warming temperatures return Monday and Tuesday * Low chances for light showers across northern Elko county Wednesday into Thursday morning * Upper level ridging looks to be the dominant weather feature Friday into next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Saturday) Shower activity across the northern third of Nevada associated with an upper trough continue to wind down this afternoon and will come to an end during the overnight. However, winds with this system will be continue to be elevated, but the area of coverage of the stronger winds will be shrinking as well with NE Elko County seeing NW winds of 10 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH possible through Sunday morning. Sunday afternoon the upper trough will be well to the east allowing the development of a ridge of high pressure that will build in across the Great Basin shoving the storm track that has been across the Pacific NW north into Canada. Models have recently hinted that this ridge may not be as strong as initially though as recently as yesterday. So While Monday and Tuesday look to be dry with quiet conditions, models hint that a upper trough moving through the Pacific northwest may be strong enough to clip northern Nevada Wednesday into Thursday morning. For now precipitation with this trough looks to be limited to for northern Elko County, and with snow levels during passage forecast to be above 8500 feet, look for isolated rain showers, with snow limited to the highest peaks of the Independence and Jarbidge Ranges. As for amounts, isolated pockets of up to 0.25 of water, with up to 2 of snow. After Thursday models again show ridging re-intensify across the SW US leading to another round of warming temperatures and quiet, dry weather conditions. Temperatures will be on a general warming trend this week, with highs starting in the mid 40s to mid 50s Sunday afternoon warming into the low 50s to low 60s by next weekend. Overnight lows will also warm from the upper teens to upper 20s Sunday morning, warming into the mid 20s to mid 30s for next weekend. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence in the development of a ridge of high pressure across the SW US and Great Basin Regions that will bring quiet weather and warming temperatures Monday and Tuesday. There is low to moderate confidence in the chances for isolated showers across northern Elko County Wednesday into Thursday morning associated with a upper trough clipping Nevada. There is high confidence in the re-intensification of upper level ridging across the SW US that will lead to quiet, dry weather with warming temperatures Friday into next weekend. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions are forecast through Sunday evening. Breezy NW winds of 10KT to 20KT with a few gusts up to 30KT will be possible this afternoon through Sunday morning as upper trough departs the region. A 10% to 20% chance for widely isolated showers across the mountains will also be possible through Sunday morning but area terminals look to remain dry. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...98 AVIATION...98