Land Management Forecasts
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

ECC029-191115-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

Fire weather concerns inland continue through the  early part of
today with gusty winds and dry relative humidity.  Onshore flow and
higher humidities will develop through the next  couple of days,
improving fire weather conditions. A warming and  drying trend
begins Friday and lasts into the weekend, leading to poorer humidity
retention during the day.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$

ECC028-191115-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$

ECC031-191115-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$

ECC024-191115-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$

ECC032-191115-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$

ECC030-191115-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
1008 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

......RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY NORTH
TO  NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN  SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING INTERIOR AREAS AND SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...

The current Red Flag Warnings for the I-5 Corridor, Ventura County
Mountains, and Western San Gabriel Mountains look on track for
today.  However, these may need to be extended to midnight tonight
as winds  shift back to the north, with speeds in the 15-30 mph
range. Relative  humidities will be near 15%, but should increase
higher after midnight.

East to northeast winds have developed this morning, but have been
limited to interior areas, especially along the I-14 Corridor where
gusts 20 to 30 mph common. These winds extend through the interior
Santa Barbara County mountains into San Luis Obispo County. Winds
should  trend lighter through the day, but relative humidities are
expected to  fall to 5 to 10% over the deserts and interior valleys.
The ongoing  strong catalina eddy circulation has again brought
extensive marine  layer clouds across the LA basin and the Ventura
coast today, and has  helped bring high humidities into the eastern
Ventura Valleys and the  coastal LA Valleys. There may be a rapid
drop of humidities into single  digits for the Santa Clarita Valley,
potentially bringing brief critical fire weather conditions. There
is an increased risk for fast-growing  grass fires over much of the
area, espeically in the Red Flag Warning,  that could transition
into wildfires where the fuel beds are most  abundant and dry.

Conditions will improve over the area Wednesday as minimum
humidities  trend higher with the return of onshore flow, however
warm and dry  conditions remain over the interior. Some isolated
pockets of single  digit humidities are possible on Wednesday, but
winds over these spots  should be light. The main area of wind
activity Wednesday into Friday  will be western portions of the
Santa Barbara south coast where  Sundowner winds will reoccur each
night. With minimum relative  humidities of 20-30%, isolated 18% and
gusts near 45-50 mph to tonight,  elevated fire weather conditions
are expected. Humidity trends higher  through the week for this
area. The next time of concern to monitor will be the weekend when
temperatures increase again, especially Saturday  when onshore winds
ramp up over the hot, dry interior. There is also  potential for
another offshore wind event late next week.


$$