Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
969 FXUS64 KLUB 031110 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 510 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 505 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 - Cold front moves through the area from north to south today. - Colder with chances of snow Thursday morning, mainly over the far SW Panhandle. - Generally warmer and dry into next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1128 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Breezy southwesterly winds will diminish overnight, although will remain near 10 mph. As such, lows will be much warmer relatively speaking than yesterday morning ranging generally from the upper 20s to mid 30s. An upper trough will descend into the Desert Southwest today. Mostly zonal flow will continue out ahead of it over our area, however a surface cold front will track from north to south through the day with winds switching to north in its wake. A sharp high temperature gradient remains expected with highs around 50 over the far southern Panhandle to near 60 over the southern South and Rolling Plains. Mostly sunny skies will persist into the afternoon. Cloud cover will increase through the evening ahead of the aforementioned trough. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1128 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 The overall thinking for Thursday morning remains unchanged. An upper trough will move eastward over New Mexico overnight. As it will be quite shallow, the PVA/forcing out ahead of it will not be overly impressive as likewise with moisture parameters. However models continue to indicate light precipitation during the early morning hours over the far SW Panhandle as aforementioned dynamics will at least be non-zero. Precipitation may spread slightly southward and eastward by mid-morning, however conditions should quickly dry out thereafter and any resultant snow accumulations may be a dusting at best. Highest PoPs again have been held to around 30%. Skies will partly clear by the afternoon as the trough departs. Again despite a progressive pattern aloft, the rest of the forecast period from Friday into early next week remains fairly persistent with mostly clear skies and high temperatures at or slighlty above average. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 505 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through at least the afternoon. Stratus is expected to move over the terminals before 00Z this evening and will remain overhead through the rest of the TAF cycle. There is uncertainty with how low CIGs will drop. While confidence is higher with CIGs being MVFR rather than IFR, there is still a chance for IFR CIGs. Light snow will also be possible at PVW and CDS after 06Z, but no significant impacts are expected. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...51