148
FXUS64 KLUB 021756
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1156 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1155 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

- Warm and dry conditions through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Upper heights will increase through the day and northerly winds
aloft will diminish as a relatively strong ridge builds in from the
west. Breezy southwesterly surface winds peaking near 15 mph return
as well between high pressure over the Southeast and a weak low over
the Rockies. As a result, high temperatures will rebound from
yesterday and top out in the mid-to-upper 70s. Sunny skies will
persist through the day and winds will slightly diminish by
this evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

The aforementioned ridge will flatten by Monday and there will be
essentially no change to the upper pattern through Thursday. Models
are in good agreement with regards to a surface cold front moving
through during the day on Wednesday. Winds will gradually veer from
west to northeast. However, this will only minimally impact
temperatures given the continued aforementioned upper ridge and
highs will only fall by around 5 degrees from Tuesday, particularly
over northern areas into the mid-to-upper 70s while remaining in the
80s elsewhere as these winds will remain light. Southwest winds will
return Thursday, bringing most locations back into the 80s. A
shallow upper trough will move in from the north late Thursday into
Friday dropping 500 mb heights into the 570s Dm. Combined with
another surface cold front and resultant northerly wind shift, highs
will fall 5 to 10 degrees across the area. Winds will do a 360 from
Friday to Saturday. Although some models suggest a more significant
cool-down into next weekend, if the general pattern on Friday
persists longer, temperatures should remain near average or slightly
above at least through Saturday. Mostly sunny and dry conditions
will persist through the current forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

VFR with breezy SW winds becoming light by sunset.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...93