Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
233 FXUS64 KLUB 011736 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1236 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 - Warmer and continued dry through next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 November was off to a cool start with noon temps 5-12 degrees lower than this time yesterday. This was courtesy of a surface ridge still expanding south from Kansas on breezy NNE winds. These winds are slowly dialing lower as the high draws closer, so this evening is looking quite cool especially once winds become light by sunset. However, temps are unlikely to crater tonight for our usual suspects as the ridge axis will be exiting the Caprock by midnight ahead of steady SSW breezes. Farther east in the southern Rolling Plains is where the strongest radiational cooling is favored with light winds, so temps here were lowered 2-4 degrees from the NBM for places like Spur, Guthrie and Aspermont. Lee troughing resumes on Sunday under sharper anticyclonic NW flow, thus temps should have little trouble jumping into the mid-70s on breezy SW winds. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 Forecast challenges for the week ahead are very few and far between as we transition from upper ridging on Monday to zonal flow for the remainder of the week. This pattern is a dry one that plays host to a couple low-amplitude troughs with weak cold fronts - the first of which reaches our area early Wednesday morning with a second slated for Friday morning. Barring brief cooldowns with each of these FROPAs, high temps each day are still expected to end well above normal with Tuesday still looking the warmest when mid/upper 80s pair with breezier SW winds. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 VFR with occasionally breezy NNE winds tapering this afternoon, then veering SSW overnight. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....93 AVIATION...93