Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
132 FXUS64 KLUB 081127 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 527 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 525 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 - Breezy to windy conditions and cooler temperatures expected Saturday. - Cooler Sunday with sub-freezing lows area-wide Monday morning, then gradually warming through mid-week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 Water vapor channel imagery highlights broadly cyclonic flow aloft in place over most of the northern half of the CONUS, which is set to amplify considerably over the next 24 hours as a closed upper low over Hudson Bay deepens and expands southward and ridging builds over the CA coast. As this occurs, an additional shortwave trough moving southeastward over the Dakotas will help drive a dry cold front southward through the region, with the front progged to enter the southern TX Panhandle by mid-morning and exit into the Permian Basin by early afternoon. Solidly breezy conditions are expected across the region today, with post-frontal north to northeast winds sustained around 20 mph likely to continue throughout the afternoon hours. Highs will range from the low to mid 60s over northern portions of the Caprock to mid 70s over southern portions of the forecast area. This evening, winds will gradually weaken as the surface pressure gradient relaxes, with a clear and cool overnight period expected with lows mainly in the 30s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1148 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025 A deep upper trough will descend southward and overspread the entire eastern half of CONUS on Sunday. While our area will be on its western edge, an associated surface cold front and northerly winds both aloft and at the surface will bring high temperatures down by about 10-15 degrees from today`s highs. Much of the area will struggle to reach 60, although sunny skies will prevail with the dry airmass. The trough will begin to depart eastward Monday, however northerlies aloft will persist between the trough and a building ridge and temperatures will only modestly recover. Upper ridging will become established over much of the western half of the country by Tuesday and the cold airmass will finally depart. As such, a warm and dry pattern is expected from then on through the remainder of next week, with highs generally in the mid 70s to low 80s and mostly sunny skies. Generally light south winds will continue over this period. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM CST Sat Nov 8 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A cold front will bring gusty north to northeast winds to all terminals mid to late morning. Wind speeds will diminish with sunset this evening. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...07