Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 020622
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1222 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

 - Dry and cool conditions expected Tuesday.

 - Brief warmup for Wednesday, otherwise below normal temperatures
   to persist through much of the next 7 days.

 - Another round of precipitation possible Thu-Fri, some winter
   weather possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

The H500 trough continues to progress east of the area with precip
exiting to the east of the state as well. Lingering cloud cover
will limit additional cooling through the rest of the overnight
hours. Some slick roadways will be possible in the wake of
Monday`s light winter weather event.

Sfc ridging in place across the state Tuesday will shift east of
the area on Wednesday which will provide southerly winds and a
brief increase in temperatures. Temperatures will be warmest
across the western half of the state. The flow aloft will largely
be zonal across the southern US with a weak system in place across
the SW US and a strong cyclone north of the Great Lakes.

A cold front will move across the state Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. This will provide colder temperatures for
Thursday across the state. As the weak H500 SW US disturbance
tracks across the state and a corresponding sfc low tracks along
the Gulf coast, precip will develop. Better chances for precip
will remain south of the state, but with the cold air in place
locally, some winter weather is possible across Arkansas.

Dry conditions and below normal temperatures are expected for the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Primarily IFR/LIFR cigs will persist through the morning hours
before conditions rapidly improve to VFR from west to east. Winds
will be light, at less than 7 kts with some variation in direction
across the state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     34  25  42  24 /  50  20   0   0
Camden AR         37  26  44  24 /  70  60   0   0
Harrison AR       32  22  43  25 /  50  20   0   0
Hot Springs AR    35  25  45  25 /  70  30   0   0
Little Rock   AR  34  27  42  26 /  70  40   0   0
Monticello AR     38  29  43  27 /  90  80   0   0
Mount Ida AR      37  25  47  26 /  60  20   0   0
Mountain Home AR  33  23  41  25 /  50  20   0   0
Newport AR        36  27  41  24 /  50  40   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     36  26  41  24 /  80  70   0   0
Russellville AR   36  26  45  27 /  50  10   0   0
Searcy AR         34  25  41  22 /  60  40   0   0
Stuttgart AR      35  27  40  25 /  70  70   0   0

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67