Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
357 FXUS64 KLZK 152251 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 451 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1201 AM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 -Another cold morning this Monday as high pressure settles across the region...with lows in the teens to low 20s -Warming trend starts this afternoon as southerly flow returns...with temperatures back to around or even above normal by mid-week -Chances for rain may return by Tue night into Wednesday...but better chances expected with a cold front Wednesday into Thursday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1201 AM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 Winds were becoming light early this Mon morning as SFC high pressure was settling across the region. Temps had dropped into the teens to low 20s so far just after midnight early this Mon...with temps expected to drop into the teens for most areas by sunrise this morning. The SFC high will shift east starting today...with SRLY flow returning by this afternoon. As a result...temps will warm into the mid 30s to upper 40s for highs. The SRLY flow will continue into the middle of the week...with highs on Tue and Wed warming into the 50s and even some 60s by Wed. By Thu...temps may even approach 70 for SRN sections ahead of an approaching cold front. The new cold front will push SE through the state on Thu...with chances for some SHRA increasing as early as Wed. However...the best chances for convection will come Thu with the FROPA. Cooler conditions will then be seen by late this week behind this front...but this will be short-lived as warmer conditions return for Sat into Sun ahead of yet another cold front moving into the region late in the forecast. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 451 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 Expect VFR flight category for the duration of the forecast period from Monday evening through Tuesday evening across all sites. No degradation to flight category is anticipated over the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 27 51 38 58 / 0 0 10 10 Camden AR 25 52 39 56 / 0 0 40 30 Harrison AR 30 58 38 61 / 0 0 10 0 Hot Springs AR 28 51 39 57 / 0 0 30 20 Little Rock AR 27 52 41 57 / 0 0 20 20 Monticello AR 27 54 42 57 / 0 0 30 40 Mount Ida AR 30 53 41 59 / 0 0 30 10 Mountain Home AR 28 56 37 60 / 0 0 10 0 Newport AR 27 50 39 57 / 0 0 10 10 Pine Bluff AR 26 53 40 56 / 0 0 30 30 Russellville AR 29 55 39 60 / 0 0 10 10 Searcy AR 24 51 37 57 / 0 0 20 10 Stuttgart AR 27 51 40 55 / 0 0 20 20 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...74