889
FXUS64 KLZK 062347
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
547 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

 + Areas of fog are expected to persist this morning across a
   large potion of the state.

 + A series of cold fronts will move across the state over the
   next several days with temperatures flip flopping a bit.

 + Little if any precipitation if expected over the next seven
   days.

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.

An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.

Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.

Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.

An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.

Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.

Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Some MVFR ceilings continue to linger across central Arkansas, but
continue to gradually scatter out. Prevailing MVFR expected to
develop from northwest to southeast across the forecast area
between 06z and 12z. Depending on higher level cloud cover moving
in from the northwest during the overnight period will affect the
ability for IFR or worse ceilings or lowered visibilities in fog,
which would favor southern TAF sites should clear conditions
prevail through the overnight period. Gradual improvements in
ceilings and visibilities will occur throughout the morning hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     36  52  30  44 /  10   0   0   0
Camden AR         38  55  33  49 /  10  10   0   0
Harrison AR       36  47  26  46 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    37  56  32  49 /   0  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  38  55  34  46 /   0  10   0   0
Monticello AR     40  56  36  48 /   0  20  10   0
Mount Ida AR      38  56  30  52 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  35  49  27  44 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        37  54  32  44 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     37  55  34  46 /   0  10   0   0
Russellville AR   37  56  31  49 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         35  54  31  44 /  10   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      38  55  34  45 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...77