141
FXUS64 KLZK 081747
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1147 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 112 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - Cool conditions for Monday before temperatures warmup through
   mid-week.

 - A major cooldown is expected this weekend with much below
   normal temperatures.

 - Little to no precipitation expected over the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 112 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

In the wake of yesterday`s cold front, sfc ridging will briefly
build in from the NW today which will provide cool temperatures to
the area. Sfc ridging will quickly shift east for Tuesday and low
level winds will turn out of the SW. This will provide warming
temperatures through midweek across the state.

This warmup will come to an end by late week as a strong mid-level cyclone
rotates its way south toward the Great Lakes. A corresponding
H500 trough is expected to move from the Upper MS Valley toward
the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday into Thursday. At the sfc, a cold front
will move across the state, providing slightly cooler
temperatures. From Friday into Saturday another mid-level trough
will progress from the Northern Plains toward the Ohio Valley
which will provide NW flow across much of the country. At the sfc,
another cold front will move across the state with a frigid air
mass in its wake.

While the focus of the cold air will remain northeast of the
state, much colder temperatures can be expected across the state
this upcoming weekend. Throughout the upcoming weekend, there
remains very little chance for any kind of precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Latest satellite imagery shows low stratus deck continuing to
erode over parts of southern Arkansas. IFR/MVFR ceilings will lift
through the afternoon hours as the stratus deck continues to
erode leading to VFR CIG at all terminals this afternoon. Some
ensemble guidance does build a stratus deck back into parts of
northwest & western Arkansas late tonight, but confidence is too
low to include at this time. Light and variable winds will veer to
the south as high pressure over eastern Oklahoma pushes into the
state later this afternoon into the evening hours. Winds will veer
to the southwest by late Tuesday morning into the afternoon with
gusts of 15-20 kts possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     31  56  43  59 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         29  56  41  61 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       31  58  44  53 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    31  56  42  60 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  31  56  43  59 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     32  56  43  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      32  58  43  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  30  59  43  54 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        30  53  43  59 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     30  56  42  60 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   31  59  40  60 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         28  55  39  59 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      31  54  42  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...76