Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
519 FXUS64 KLZK 120926 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 326 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 -Dry and warming conditions will persist through the end of the week. -Above-normal temperatures expected, as area readings moderate back to the mid 70s by Friday. -Some areas will approach record values within a few degrees on Saturday with highs near 80 degrees. -Rain chances return to the forecast area by the end of the weekend and into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Calm and chilly conditions were noted acrs the FA as recent night time sat imgry depicted mostly clear skies, and sfc obs indicated temps in the mid 50s to low 50s acrs the state. The warming trend is expected to continue thru the remainder of the week as low-lvl Srly flow prevails and Cntrl US H500 ridging builds, w/ high temps moderating towards the low 70s. By Sat, current base-blended guidance suggests high temps in the upper 70s to low 80s acrs AR. Some locations would be nearing record daily high values to a few degrees. In the long term, dProg/dt`s for upper level flow are still somewhat variable, as aforementioned ridging is set to weaken, allowing for Wrn US troughing to deepen. The time line on the return of rain chances remains lagged, w/ more widespread and higher magnitude PoPs more lkly by early next week, and as early as Sun night. Given the fcst higher humidity/dewpoints by the weekend, some thunderstorms may be possible w/ returning rain chances as well, but confidence remains low and uncertain on hazardous weather potential near the end of the fcst PD. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1029 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 All TAF sites are expected to remain in VFR flight category for the duration of the forecast period from early Wednesday morning through early Thursday morning. Low level wind shear will be present across all terminals from the beginning of the forecast through Wednesday morning around sunrise. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 71 43 71 55 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 72 49 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 69 42 71 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 71 47 75 56 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 69 47 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 72 52 76 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 73 46 76 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 69 41 70 53 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 69 44 71 55 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 70 47 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 71 44 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 70 42 73 52 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 69 47 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...72 AVIATION...74