Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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913
FXUS64 KLZK 092335 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
535 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - Some fog or freezing fog will be possible through the morning
   hours.

 - Increasing SW winds and warmer temperatures expected today.

 - A couple of cold fronts will move through this week with a
   stronger one bringing much colder temperatures for the weekend.

 - Mostly dry conditions are expected, but some light rain
   is possible on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Low clouds remain in place across portions of eastern and southern
Arkansas this morning with mostly clear sky conditions and cold
temperatures elsewhere. Will have to monitor the potential for
freezing fog development across portions of western, central and
southern Arkansas through daybreak.

Sfc ridging will drift E/SE away from the state today and SW winds
will increase as this happens. This will lead to increasing
temperatures across the state both today and tonight. 24 hr
temp differences during this timeframe could be nearly 20 degrees
F in some cases, quite a noticeable warmup for some.

A cold front will move through on Wednesday which will temper the
warmup expected across the state somewhat. NW winds will increase
and the warmest readings are expected across southern AR. The
warmup will commence once again for the Thu-Fri timeframe as the
low level flow remains out of the SW. Another weak front will
move through on Friday after peak heating, with cooler
temperatures expected for the Friday night timeframe.

The main change will take place from Saturday into Sunday as yet
another cold front will move through, but this one will lead the
charge of an Arctic airmass. Much colder air will spill in with
highs on Sunday likely limited to the 30s F for much of the
state. Overnight lows in the 20s F will be fairly widespread as
well.

While the state will be impacted by the cold air, the center of
the sfc ridge associated with the cold airmass will remain
northeast of the state. This will lead to the coldest air being
well NE of Arkansas by hundreds of miles. Also, this will lead to
a pretty good temperature spread from northeast to southwest
across the state this weekend into early next week.

There remains very little signal for any moisture through the
period. The main change over the past 24 hours is that there could
be some showers on Saturday, with some low POPs included with this
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Expect turbulent condns acrs the FA thru the new TAF PD. Modest
SWrly winds should persist thru the overnight PD at area
terminals, ahead of an aprchg cdfrnt. LLWS concerns wl be
prevalent overnight, and have included mentions at all terminals.
The aforementioned cdfrnt wl move acrs the state b/w 12-18Z Wed,
w/ gusty NWrly winds of 15 to 20 kts prevailing behind the frnt.
VFR condns should prevail, w/ attendant mid to high level cloud
cover thru the PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     33  56  33  54 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         32  61  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       35  51  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    33  58  34  56 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  33  58  34  55 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     34  61  35  56 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      34  60  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  34  53  31  55 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        41  56  34  51 /  10   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     32  60  33  55 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   32  59  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         30  58  32  54 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      35  58  34  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...72